NATO allies have committed to and are increasing defense spending after US pressure and the Russian threat. The current US force posture adjustment is appropriate, and he would do the same. This trend is positive for defense contractors, especially as allies take on more conventional defense against Russia, and the sense of urgency is likely to persist.
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains well below prewar levels (55 ships/day versus 135-150), Iran continues to threaten closure, and shipping insurers and crews are hesitant. It will take time before the strait fully reopens, sustaining a risk premium that supports oil prices.