Malcolm Dorson

India has underperformed year-to-date, yet GDP is 7.8%, the central bank is cutting rates, and "20 plus percent of household savings lie in gold." With gold prices elevated, Indian households experience a significant "wealth effect," driving consumer confidence "through the roof." This domestic consumption engine, combined with a dip in market performance, creates a tactical entry point. LONG India to capture the disconnect between strong macro fundamentals (consumption + growth) and recent price underperformance. Valuation concerns if the market remains expensive relative to peers; global oil price shocks (India is a net importer).

Malcolm explicitly states they are "doubling down" on Latin America, specifically naming "Argentina... the tickers ARGT, Brazil... and Colombia." He notes these markets offer "value, high single-digit PE multiples... and exposure to commodities." The Middle East conflict drives energy and commodity prices higher. While Asian EMs import energy (a negative), Latin American countries are net exporters (a positive). Buying these specific country funds captures the commodity upside and "carry" without the direct geopolitical risk of the Middle East. LONG Latin American single-country ETFs to play the commodity boom and valuation gap. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East causing oil prices to crash, or specific political instability within LatAm countries.

Malcolm explicitly states they are "doubling down" on Latin America, specifically naming "Argentina... the tickers ARGT, Brazil... and Colombia." He notes these markets offer "value, high single-digit PE multiples... and exposure to commodities." The Middle East conflict drives energy and commodity prices higher. While Asian EMs import energy (a negative), Latin American countries are net exporters (a positive). Buying these specific country funds captures the commodity upside and "carry" without the direct geopolitical risk of the Middle East. LONG Latin American single-country ETFs to play the commodity boom and valuation gap. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East causing oil prices to crash, or specific political instability within LatAm countries.

Malcolm explicitly states they are "doubling down" on Latin America, specifically naming "Argentina... the tickers ARGT, Brazil... and Colombia." He notes these markets offer "value, high single-digit PE multiples... and exposure to commodities." The Middle East conflict drives energy and commodity prices higher. While Asian EMs import energy (a negative), Latin American countries are net exporters (a positive). Buying these specific country funds captures the commodity upside and "carry" without the direct geopolitical risk of the Middle East. LONG Latin American single-country ETFs to play the commodity boom and valuation gap. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East causing oil prices to crash, or specific political instability within LatAm countries.

The speaker explicitly states their "biggest overweight from a sector perspective is going to be in financials" within Latin America. He explains the mechanism: As rates come down from 15%, net interest expenses decrease, asset quality improves (fewer defaults), and capital market activity (IPOs/M&A) picks up. Brazilian banks (ITUB/BBD) are the direct beneficiaries of this specific cycle. LONG Brazilian Banks as a levered play on the falling rate cycle in LATAM. If inflation remains sticky and the Central Bank of Brazil cannot cut rates, the thesis for improved credit quality breaks.

When discussing cyclicals, the speaker explicitly lists: "we like copper, we like energy, and we like gold." This is a direct allocation to the "resource-heavy" thesis. These assets act as a hedge against inflation and benefit from the global industrial cycle (Copper/Energy) and the wealth effect mentioned in India (Gold). LONG the liquid ETF proxies for these commodities. Global recession crushing demand for Copper and Energy; strong USD headwinds for Gold.

The speaker explicitly states their "biggest overweight from a sector perspective is going to be in financials" within Latin America. He explains the mechanism: As rates come down from 15%, net interest expenses decrease, asset quality improves (fewer defaults), and capital market activity (IPOs/M&A) picks up. Brazilian banks (ITUB/BBD) are the direct beneficiaries of this specific cycle. LONG Brazilian Banks as a levered play on the falling rate cycle in LATAM. If inflation remains sticky and the Central Bank of Brazil cannot cut rates, the thesis for improved credit quality breaks.