The U.S. has the deepest and most effective capital markets, representing over 60% of world market cap, and amid increasing global conflict, investors should concentrate assets in the U.S. and stick with dollar-based investing for stability and growth.
US defense spending will increase significantly from the current ~3% of GDP to at least 4.5% due to geopolitical tensions, Trump's proposed 50% budget increase, and Europe's need to ramp up its own defense investments. This will create strong tailwinds for defense companies, especially those involved in munitions and smaller weapons systems, driving spending for the next decade.
The energy markets are not pricing in the likely escalation in Iran over the next few weeks, which could lead to supply disruptions and permanently damage Iran's oil infrastructure, supporting higher oil prices.
The U.S. has the deepest and most effective capital markets, representing over 60% of world market cap, and amid increasing global conflict, investors should concentrate assets in the U.S. and stick with dollar-based investing for stability and growth.