krugermacro 5.0 52 ideas
After 1 day
57%winrate
+0.1% avg
16W / 12L · 28/40 ideas
After 1 week
48%winrate
-1.3% avg
11W / 12L · 23/40 ideas
After 1 month
40%winrate
-6.4% avg
10W / 15L · 25/40 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
Crypto
24 ideas
-8.0%
ETF
24 ideas
-5.9%
currency
3 ideas
+12.7%
sector
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
BTC
17 ideas
43% W
-8.3%
SPY
13 ideas
50% W
-1.0%
USD
3 ideas
100% W
+12.7%
TLT
3 ideas
0% W
-0.5%
USO
3 ideas
0% W
-44.3%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USD SHORT
+12.7%
1. THE FACT: The three-month moving average of job growth excluding healthcare is now negative for the first time outsid...
Jan 06
BTC LONG
+7.8%
The author projects a price target of $78k-$82k for Bitcoin by the end of Q1, citing potential news catalysts like the W...
Feb 24
SPY LONG
+4.4%
1. THE FACT: Williams siding with the cut camp could be helping avert the December 2018 scenario. There have been many r...
Nov 21
Worst calls
USO SHORT
-44.3%
The author argues that the current energy shock will be transitory and not a repeat of 2022's sustained price spike due ...
Mar 05
BTC LONG
-33.2%
1. THE FACT: The projected sequence from early November has unfolded as anticipated. The stark contrast between December...
Jan 06
SPY LONG
-7.9%
The author expects the S&P 500 to bottom quickly and recover following the initial shock of a military conflict, based o...
Feb 28
Avoid or be highly cautious on Bitcoin, as the primary risk is not a new price low but a prolonged stagnation ("cannabization") similar to the failed recovery of cannabis stocks after their 2018 peak, which would destroy long-term returns.
BTC
MED
Apr 16, 03:57
Go long crypto as deeply negative funding rates signal reliable market capitulation, while the 50-week moving average provides strong historical bear market support.
BTC
HIGH
Apr 16, 02:40
Stay long the S&P 500 as the index retracing its entire recent downward move technically invalidates bearish arguments and confirms the prevailing uptrend.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 15, 18:50
Avoid Solana as it lacks the fundamental quality to be included among the few investable crypto assets in the current environment.
SOL
MED
Apr 14, 20:21
Go long equities as a contrarian play against pervasive market pessimism driven by geopolitical fears and recession concerns.
SPY
MED
Apr 14, 20:21
The tweet uses multiple negative emojis to express a strongly bearish view on the Bittensor token, indicating a sell-off expectation.
TAO
Apr 10, 00:10
While acknowledging high short-term uncertainty from geopolitical events, the author is bullish on equities (SPY) for the period beyond the immediate future.
SPY
MED
Apr 08, 23:23
The author implies Ethereum will benefit from a combination of 'Quantum' (likely referring to quantum computing themes/advancements) and general market beta, expecting a replay of a 2025-style risk-on move.
ETH
MED
Apr 08, 18:26
Expects the S&P 500 to rise 10% by the end of 2026 driven by a non-hawkish Fed, higher inflation, and geopolitical stabilization.
SPY
MED
Apr 08, 17:43
The author expects a market rally that will draw in participants, and believes those who enter will be rewarded with gains by the end of the year.
SPY
MED
Apr 08, 16:37
Gold is positioned as a strong asset to hold amidst ongoing geopolitical conflict, with the author initiating a long position today.
GLD
HIGH
Mar 23, 16:15
Gold is expected to perform strongly later in the year driven by a resumption of the US Dollar downtrend, though the trade remains somewhat contingent on war duration and central bank policy.
GLD
MED
Mar 23, 08:01
The author assigns a 2/3 probability to a geopolitical de-escalation (cease-fire), making the tail-risk scenario of oil going to $150+ the less likely outcome.
USO
MED
Mar 19, 17:50
The author contrasts the Fed's uncertainty with a high-conviction view that stagflation is coming, which would be bearish for broad market equities.
SPY
MED
Mar 19, 04:10
The Fed is signaling tolerance for a hotter economy without becoming more hawkish, creating a supportive macro environment for risk assets like equities.
SPY
HIGH
Mar 18, 18:18