10-Year yields are breaking below 4% despite hot PPI data. Credit spreads are widening. The bond market is signaling a "growth scare" or "flight to safety." Guha argues AI is disinflationary in the short term (wage suppression). Al-Hussainy notes a bid for liquidity due to private market jitters. LONG US TREASURIES (Duration) as a hedge against equity volatility and disinflation. Inflation re-accelerates significantly, forcing the Fed to hike or hold longer.
10-Year yields are breaking below 4% despite hot PPI data. Credit spreads are widening. The bond market is signaling a "growth scare" or "flight to safety." Guha argues AI is disinflationary in the short term (wage suppression). Al-Hussainy notes a bid for liquidity due to private market jitters. LONG US TREASURIES (Duration) as a hedge against equity volatility and disinflation. Inflation re-accelerates significantly, forcing the Fed to hike or hold longer.