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#855 Alpha Score 15.5

Keith McCullough

Founder & CEO, Hedgeye Risk Management
@KeithMcCullough · tracked since Jan 2026
855
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Alpha Score 15.5
Calls
190
Win Rate
46.3%
return
-1.8%
Calls 190 4243 Posts tracked · 21.3/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 43
Best Calls
TXG Long +147.5%
STX Long +98.5%
SOXS Short +86.7%
Worst Calls
SOXS Long -85.1%
HELE Short -66.0%
CRCL Long -54.0%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×39
BNO ×29
GOLD ×25
Recent Calls
AVAX Short 1 month ago
SOL Short 1 month ago
COIN Short 1 month ago
Win Rate 46% Long 109 Short 81
Win Rate
7d 56%
30d 48%
90d 44%
Average Return -1.8% Long Return -2.2% Short Return -1.3%
Average Return
7d +0.6%
30d +0.6%
90d -1.3%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 04
$76.92
+63.2%
Buy oil exposure as McCullough's Hedgeye Quad1 macro regime (accelerating growth, decelerating inflation) signals a structural demand breakout, with price action confirming the reflation thesis intraday.
Buy oil exposure as McCullough's Hedgeye Quad1 macro regime (accelerating growth, decelerating inflation) signals a structural demand breakout, with price action confirming the reflation thesis intraday.
Commodities
Long
Jan 02
$403.30
-8.7%
Buy gold as Hedgeye's proprietary Risk Range™ Signal flags immediate-term upside with a specific price target of $4,567/oz, providing a quantified near-term bullish setup.
Buy gold as Hedgeye's proprietary Risk Range™ Signal flags immediate-term upside with a specific price target of $4,567/oz, providing a quantified near-term bullish setup.
Commodities
Short
Jan 23
$160.82
+40.9%
Author explicitly reiterates an active core short position in MicroStrategy, signaling sustained high-conviction bearish exposure with no change to thesis.
Author explicitly reiterates an active core short position in MicroStrategy, signaling sustained high-conviction bearish exposure with no change to thesis.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jan 05
$92927.60
-30.4%
Reiterate long Bitcoin as speaker maintains a December bottoming call is still intact; no new catalyst provided, but ongoing directional commitment signals continued bullish positioning.
Reiterate long Bitcoin as speaker maintains a December bottoming call is still intact; no new catalyst provided, but ongoing directional commitment signals continued bullish positioning.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jan 01
$64.42
-21.4%
Buy silver; author discloses an existing long position entered at significantly lower prices and expresses conviction to hold through current volatility, dismissing short-term selling as tourist panic rather than a fundamental deterioration.
Buy silver; author discloses an existing long position entered at significantly lower prices and expresses conviction to hold through current volatility, dismissing short-term selling as tourist panic rather than a fundamental deterioration.
Commodities
Short
Feb 11
$53.48
-5.5%
Short financials via XLF as the author's Quad Shift framework signals a macro regime change that is structurally bearish for the financial sector.
Short financials via XLF as the author's Quad Shift framework signals a macro regime change that is structurally bearish for the financial sector.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jan 05
$253.21
+16.0%
Long IWM as author discloses an active position; argues hedge funds are structurally wrong to short Russell 2000 as a hedge against stock picks, creating a crowded-short setup that favors the long side.
Long IWM as author discloses an active position; argues hedge funds are structurally wrong to short Russell 2000 as a hedge against stock picks, creating a crowded-short setup that favors the long side.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 23
$85.55
+1.2%
Short long-duration Treasuries via TLT as bond yields are breaking out to the upside across global curves; author's Quad3 macro regime framework (stagflation-like) is the structural driver of the bearish bond call.
Short long-duration Treasuries via TLT as bond yields are breaking out to the upside across global curves; author's Quad3 macro regime framework (stagflation-like) is the structural driver of the bearish bond call.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jan 06
$80.90
-1.4%
Stay long high yield credit as the private credit crisis narrative and US recession bear case have failed to materialize, validating continued exposure to HYG.
Stay long high yield credit as the private credit crisis narrative and US recession bear case have failed to materialize, validating continued exposure to HYG.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jan 05
$35.81
+8.7%
Buy TUR as Hedgeye's trend model signals a confirmed bullish trend, with the position up +5.8% over the past month and momentum continuing to build.
Buy TUR as Hedgeye's trend model signals a confirmed bullish trend, with the position up +5.8% over the past month and momentum continuing to build.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jan 15
$461.27
+14.6%
Short MSFT as part of a Quad1 macro rotation away from mega-cap "Bag7" names; broad market breadth expansion (64% of SPY stocks up, Russell at ATH) signals capital rotating out of large-cap tech into cyclicals.
Short MSFT as part of a Quad1 macro rotation away from mega-cap "Bag7" names; broad market breadth expansion (64% of SPY stocks up, Russell at ATH) signals capital rotating out of large-cap tech into cyclicals.
Hyperscalers
Long
Feb 13
$53.99
+7.2%
Buy oil and energy exposure as Hedgeye's process flags a Bullish TREND signal; the first red-day pullback provides a process-driven entry point for adding long exposure.
Buy oil and energy exposure as Hedgeye's process flags a Bullish TREND signal; the first red-day pullback provides a process-driven entry point for adding long exposure.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jan 16
$30.52
+48.6%
Short BMNR as Hedgeye's Keith McCullough explicitly frames it as a high-conviction short idea within his process-driven framework, committing to a clear bearish directional view.
Short BMNR as Hedgeye's Keith McCullough explicitly frames it as a high-conviction short idea within his process-driven framework, committing to a clear bearish directional view.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Feb 24
$116.74
+1.1%
Short Consumer Discretionary sector ETF; Quad3 regime (stagflation) pressures consumer spending power and discretionary demand, making XLY a structural short within Hedgeye's process.
Short Consumer Discretionary sector ETF; Quad3 regime (stagflation) pressures consumer spending power and discretionary demand, making XLY a structural short within Hedgeye's process.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 19
$140.18
-25.0%
Short XLK as Hedgeye's Vol of Vol signal holds a Bearish TREND reading on tech, with no change to the signal confirming continued downside bias.
Short XLK as Hedgeye's Vol of Vol signal holds a Bearish TREND reading on tech, with no change to the signal confirming continued downside bias.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 15 of 190 calls · sorted by mentions

Keith McCullough has 190 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 165 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 46% across 188 evaluated calls, average return -1.8%. Ranked #855 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, BNO, GOLD.