#238
Alpha Score 68.5
Keith McCullough
Founder & CEO, Hedgeye Risk Management
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
May 26
$71620.10
+9.1%
Short Bitcoin as USD strength exerts bearish correlation pressure; McCullough explicitly links the dollar breakout to downside for crypto alongside gold.
Short Bitcoin as USD strength exerts bearish correlation pressure; McCullough explicitly links the dollar breakout to downside for crypto alongside gold.
Crypto
Short
May 28
$1984.45
+7.0%
Short Ethereum alongside Bitcoin as Hedgeye's trend breakdown signals cover both assets, indicating systematic bearish positioning across major crypto, not a one-off call.
Short Ethereum alongside Bitcoin as Hedgeye's trend breakdown signals cover both assets, indicating systematic bearish positioning across major crypto, not a one-off call.
Crypto
Short
May 27
$24.69
+3.9%
Short PALL — speaker explicitly holds an active short position in palladium, with continued price deterioration (-6% over the past week) confirming the bearish trend and validating the existing short thesis.
Short PALL — speaker explicitly holds an active short position in palladium, with continued price deterioration (-6% over the past week) confirming the bearish trend and validating the existing short thesis.
Other
Short
May 27
$67.77
+2.9%
Short silver via SLV as Hedgeye's Quad2 macro regime framework signals sustained bearish trend and trade signals, with price confirming the thesis via continued -2% decline.
Short silver via SLV as Hedgeye's Quad2 macro regime framework signals sustained bearish trend and trade signals, with price confirming the thesis via continued -2% decline.
Other
Long
May 26
$162.73
+3.1%
Buy QTUM as the speaker frames it as a secular growth long currently making new all-time highs, implying momentum confirmation and ongoing uptrend within Hedgeye's process-driven framework.
Buy QTUM as the speaker frames it as a secular growth long currently making new all-time highs, implying momentum confirmation and ongoing uptrend within Hedgeye's process-driven framework.
AI/Semi
Long
Mar 03
$468.14
-12.9%
"The things that do well [in Quad 4] are gold, bonds, and utilities." As the economy enters a deflationary slowdown (Quad 4), investors flee to safety and yield. Utilities (bond proxies) and Gold (store of value/currency hedge) historically outperform when growth collapses. Long Defensive Sectors and Precious Metals. Rising real rates (if inflation falls faster than nominal yields).
"The things that do well [in Quad 4] are gold, bonds, and utilities." As the economy enters a deflationary slowdown (Quad 4), investors flee to safety and yield. Utilities (bond proxies) and Gold (store of value/currency hedge) historically outperform when growth collapses. Long Defensive Sectors and Precious Metals. Rising real rates (if inflation falls faster than nominal yields).
Macro
Long
Mar 03
$89.43
-4.6%
"We are going into Quad 4 in the second quarter... the best time to be long long-term Treasuries." Quad 4 is a deflationary recession environment. As growth and inflation decelerate simultaneously, the Fed is forced to cut rates aggressively. The speaker predicts the 10-year yield could fall to 3.25% (down ~100bps). Long duration bonds are the highest conviction trade for Q2 2026. Inflation re-accelerates (staying in Quad 3) rather than cooling off.
"We are going into Quad 4 in the second quarter... the best time to be long long-term Treasuries." Quad 4 is a deflationary recession environment. As growth and inflation decelerate simultaneously, the Fed is forced to cut rates aggressively. The speaker predicts the 10-year yield could fall to 3.25% (down ~100bps). Long duration bonds are the highest conviction trade for Q2 2026. Inflation re-accelerates (staying in Quad 3) rather than cooling off.
Macro
Long
Mar 03
$90.20
+56.4%
"As long as my signal says buy every damn dip in oil, I'm going to buy every damn dip in oil." The market front-ran the geopolitical escalation (US-Israel/Iran). Oil is breaking out technically, regardless of the specific news cycle. In a Quad 3 (current state) environment, energy is a top performer. Continue buying oil and energy equities on pullbacks. A sudden geopolitical resolution or demand collapse in deep Quad 4.
"As long as my signal says buy every damn dip in oil, I'm going to buy every damn dip in oil." The market front-ran the geopolitical escalation (US-Israel/Iran). Oil is breaking out technically, regardless of the specific news cycle. In a Quad 3 (current state) environment, energy is a top performer. Continue buying oil and energy equities on pullbacks. A sudden geopolitical resolution or demand collapse in deep Quad 4.
Energy
Short
May 29
$107.30
+0.3%
Short the Euro vs. USD as an ongoing institutional position; no new catalyst stated but first-person short disclosure confirms active directional exposure against EUR.
Short the Euro vs. USD as an ongoing institutional position; no new catalyst stated but first-person short disclosure confirms active directional exposure against EUR.
Macro
Short
May 29
$8.89
+8.8%
Short Avalanche; Hedgeye TREND signal is bearish and asset remains in Crash Mode, consistent with the broader crypto downside framework applied across this group.
Short Avalanche; Hedgeye TREND signal is bearish and asset remains in Crash Mode, consistent with the broader crypto downside framework applied across this group.
Crypto
Short
May 29
$80.54
+9.8%
Short Solana; Hedgeye's proprietary TREND signal is bearish and the asset remains in "Crash Mode," indicating sustained downside momentum with no recovery signal.
Short Solana; Hedgeye's proprietary TREND signal is bearish and the asset remains in "Crash Mode," indicating sustained downside momentum with no recovery signal.
Crypto
Short
May 29
$1.30
+6.6%
Short XRP; Hedgeye TREND is bearish and Crash Mode active, compounded by a retail crowding dynamic where unsophisticated longs are anchored to a doubling thesis — a classic setup for continued downside as the bias cascade unwinds.
Short XRP; Hedgeye TREND is bearish and Crash Mode active, compounded by a retail crowding dynamic where unsophisticated longs are anchored to a doubling thesis — a classic setup for continued downside as the bias cascade unwinds.
Crypto
Long
May 28
$90.37
-8.3%
Buy HOOD as Hedgeye's macro framework (Quad2) has flipped the signal to Bullish TREND; crowded short positioning from hedge funds creates a contrarian squeeze setup.
Buy HOOD as Hedgeye's macro framework (Quad2) has flipped the signal to Bullish TREND; crowded short positioning from hedge funds creates a contrarian squeeze setup.
Fintech
Short
May 28
$117.53
+7.5%
Short BX as the speaker maintains an active short position, arguing AI-driven disruption is structurally eroding the traditional alternative asset management model ("Old Wall").
Short BX as the speaker maintains an active short position, arguing AI-driven disruption is structurally eroding the traditional alternative asset management model ("Old Wall").
Fintech
Short
May 28
$181.81
+10.1%
Short Coinbase as the USD breakout reverses crypto narrative flows; COIN's revenue is directly tied to crypto trading volumes and asset prices, both pressured by dollar strength.
Short Coinbase as the USD breakout reverses crypto narrative flows; COIN's revenue is directly tied to crypto trading volumes and asset prices, both pressured by dollar strength.
Fintech
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