Chedid observes that "Gold is continuing to be an effective hedge in times of geopolitical volatility," specifically noting it helps when stock/bond correlations break down. In a scenario where inflation spikes (due to oil) and growth slows (due to war), the traditional 60/40 portfolio fails (stocks and bonds both drop). Gold acts as the non-correlated store of value during the "fog of war" phase where the endgame is unclear. LONG Gold as a portfolio buffer. A strong US Dollar (DXY) can sometimes act as a headwind to Gold, though currently, both are rising together (safe haven bid).