#1031 Alpha Score 43.6

Jurrien Timmer

Director of Global Macro, Fidelity
@TimmerFidelity · tracked since Feb 2026
1031
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Alpha Score 43.6
Calls
7
Win Rate
71.4%
return
+2.0%
Calls 7 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 4
Win Rate 71% Long 6 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 62%
30d 50%
90d 100%
Average Return +2.0% Long Return +2.0% Short Return +2.0%
Average Return
7d -1.4%
30d -1.6%
90d +2.6%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Jul 22
$93.16
+2.0%
10-year Treasury yield likely to rise.
In a fiscally dominant era, yields face upside risk rather than downside risk. The 10-year Treasury yield could rise to 5% as term premium expands, making bonds positively correlated to equities and putting bond prices at risk. This environment favors a short duration stance.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 22
$56.05
-0.3%
US financials: high payout, AI beneficiary.
S&P 500 Financials have an 84% payout ratio, a 5% yield, and are potentially large beneficiaries of the AI buildout because they hold vast customer data and operate on inefficient legacy rails that AI can improve. This gives them a dual role as high-yield value and an AI‑adjacent play.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 22
$40.74
+2.5%
European banks: cheap, high yield, uncorrelated.
European banks offer a 7% yield, an 88% payout ratio, trade at a 10x P/E, and are only 11% correlated to the Mag 7. Their performance has kept pace with AI themes, making them a compelling, boring, high-yield diversification play in this boom era.
Equity Indexes
Showing 3 of 7 calls · sorted by mentions

Jurrien Timmer has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 7 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #1031 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, SMH, EUFN.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology