Private credit spreads are widening due to stress, while high-quality liquid corporate credit offers ~5.5% yields without the illiquidity risk. The "illiquidity premium" in private credit has eroded. Investors are realizing they are taking extra risk for minimal extra return compared to liquid investment-grade bonds. LONG. Risk-adjusted returns favor liquid, high-quality credit over stressed private allocations. A resurgence in inflation pushing yields higher and prices lower.
Private credit spreads are widening due to stress, while high-quality liquid corporate credit offers ~5.5% yields without the illiquidity risk. The "illiquidity premium" in private credit has eroded. Investors are realizing they are taking extra risk for minimal extra return compared to liquid investment-grade bonds. LONG. Risk-adjusted returns favor liquid, high-quality credit over stressed private allocations. A resurgence in inflation pushing yields higher and prices lower.