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Emerging market stocks have room to outperform the S&P 500, supported by broad-based gains beyond just Taiwan and Korea (e.g., Brazil, Mexico, Poland). The EM basket offers diversification and resilience, even if AI trade falters or geopolitical tensions rise.
Commodities have another leg up driven by severe geopolitical supply chain risks (e.g., Strait of Hormuz tensions) and depleted inventories of oil, diesel, fertilizer, and other inputs. The bull case for energy and agricultural commodities is strong even if equity markets ignore it.
The 10-year Treasury yield has been range-bound between roughly 3.75% and 4.75% due to government intervention and economic constraints. A tactical trade of buying bonds when yields hit the upper end (4.75-5%) and selling when yields fall to the lower end (3.75-4%) can be profitable.
Inflation will be higher in the future due to persistent debt and deficits, so Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) provide built-in inflation protection and make sense as a diversifier in portfolios.
If commodity supply shocks trigger an economic pullback or recession, long-term bond yields will fall. Buying long-term US Treasuries when yields reach the upper fours (around 4.75-5%) offers a good entry point as a hedge and capital appreciation trade.
Jim Masturzo has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since May 2026. Ranked #865 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: TLT, IEF, EEM.
#865Ranked Speaker
#865 of 1831 voices on Buzzberg