Buzzberg Cup Live
#188 Alpha Score 81.5

Jeff Mason

White House Correspondent
@jeffmason1 · tracked since Mar 2026
188
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Alpha Score 81.5
Calls
10
Win Rate
60.0%
return
+6.7%
Calls 10 6 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
WTI Long +53.2%
INSW Long +31.6%
FRO Long +19.8%
Worst Calls
NOC Long -27.4%
LMT Long -22.6%
ITA Long -5.3%
Most Mentioned
LMT ×3
RTX ×3
ITA ×2
Recent Calls
INSW Long 4 months ago
STNG Long 4 months ago
FRO Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 60% Long 10 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 90%
30d 50%
90d 50%
Average Return +6.7% Long Return +6.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +5.9%
30d +7.6%
90d +6.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 01
$658.08
-22.6%
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
Defense
Long
Mar 01
$202.62
-4.3%
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
Defense
Long
Mar 01
$357.05
+3.2%
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
Defense
Long
Mar 01
$243.72
-5.3%
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 14
$30.29
+19.8%
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
Shipping & Tankers
Long
Mar 14
$65.91
+31.6%
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
Shipping & Tankers
Long
Mar 14
$66.70
+14.8%
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
"There is real stillness in the Persian Gulf, a real reluctance on the part of these tankers to move through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the fact that the administration has floated reinsurance." Tankers are refusing to transit the world's most critical energy chokepoint without US Navy escorts, and alternative routes (like the Red Sea) still face Houthi threats. This forces massive rerouting of global energy shipments, drastically increasing ton-mile demand. This supply shock in available shipping vessels directly spikes freight and charter rates, boosting tanker company revenues. LONG. Geopolitical blockades in major shipping lanes structurally increase the pricing power of global tanker fleets. US Navy escorts successfully secure the strait, normalizing transit times and crushing the elevated freight rates.
Shipping & Tankers
Long
Mar 01
$724.38
-27.4%
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
"He said that the heavy and pinpoint bombing would continue uninterrupted throughout the week or as long as necessary... they're all in on this operation." A declared, multi-day bombing campaign accelerates the consumption of precision munitions and necessitates the deployment of military platforms. This creates immediate replenishment demand for defense contractors. The explicit commitment ("all in") suggests a high intensity of engagement, benefiting the defense industrial base. LONG Defense primes and aerospace ETFs to capture the expenditure associated with the campaign. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire could reverse the momentum in defense stocks; political backlash could limit funding.
Defense
Long
Mar 01
$81.95
+53.2%
The speaker highlights Trump's simultaneous actions: "multiple things he's doing from going into Venezuela and now Iran." Simultaneous US interventions in two major oil-producing nations (Iran and Venezuela) introduce significant supply disruption risks. The "heavy bombing" in Iran specifically threatens Middle Eastern supply stability, typically resulting in a geopolitical risk premium being priced into crude oil. LONG Energy and Oil futures/ETFs as a hedge against potential supply shocks. If the conflict remains strictly military (targeting leadership/sites) and avoids energy infrastructure, the risk premium may fade quickly.
The speaker highlights Trump's simultaneous actions: "multiple things he's doing from going into Venezuela and now Iran." Simultaneous US interventions in two major oil-producing nations (Iran and Venezuela) introduce significant supply disruption risks. The "heavy bombing" in Iran specifically threatens Middle Eastern supply stability, typically resulting in a geopolitical risk premium being priced into crude oil. LONG Energy and Oil futures/ETFs as a hedge against potential supply shocks. If the conflict remains strictly military (targeting leadership/sites) and avoids energy infrastructure, the risk premium may fade quickly.
Commodities
Long
Mar 01
$55.92
+3.5%
The speaker highlights Trump's simultaneous actions: "multiple things he's doing from going into Venezuela and now Iran." Simultaneous US interventions in two major oil-producing nations (Iran and Venezuela) introduce significant supply disruption risks. The "heavy bombing" in Iran specifically threatens Middle Eastern supply stability, typically resulting in a geopolitical risk premium being priced into crude oil. LONG Energy and Oil futures/ETFs as a hedge against potential supply shocks. If the conflict remains strictly military (targeting leadership/sites) and avoids energy infrastructure, the risk premium may fade quickly.
The speaker highlights Trump's simultaneous actions: "multiple things he's doing from going into Venezuela and now Iran." Simultaneous US interventions in two major oil-producing nations (Iran and Venezuela) introduce significant supply disruption risks. The "heavy bombing" in Iran specifically threatens Middle Eastern supply stability, typically resulting in a geopolitical risk premium being priced into crude oil. LONG Energy and Oil futures/ETFs as a hedge against potential supply shocks. If the conflict remains strictly military (targeting leadership/sites) and avoids energy infrastructure, the risk premium may fade quickly.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Jeff Mason has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #188 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: LMT, RTX, ITA.