Buzzberg Cup Live
#449 Alpha Score 55.6

Jake Auchincloss

U.S. Congressman (D-MA), Marine Reservist
@RepAuchincloss · tracked since Feb 2026
449
BUZZBERG The leaderboard is ranked by Alpha Score, which weighs a speaker's average return, their number of calls, and reputation — a credibility rating of the source that can only raise a score, never lower it. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 55.6
Calls
7
Win Rate
42.9%
return
+0.2%
Calls 7 118 Posts tracked · 0.8/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
WTI Long +51.3%
XLE Long +3.4%
GD Long +3.2%
Worst Calls
GLD Long -23.8%
LMT Long -22.7%
ITA Long -5.3%
Most Mentioned
ITA ×1
XLE ×1
BNO ×1
Recent Calls
VIX Long 4 months ago
GLD Long 4 months ago
WTI Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 43% Long 7 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 71%
30d 29%
90d 29%
Average Return +0.2% Long Return +0.2% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +4.3%
30d +2.9%
90d +1.1%
Loading charts...
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 28
$357.05
+3.2%
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
Defense
Long
Feb 28
$483.75
-23.8%
Describes the situation as a "reckless commander in chief" starting a "war of choice" that is "strategically open ended." The characterization of the conflict as "open ended" and "illegal" suggests a period of prolonged geopolitical instability and domestic political infighting (War Powers Act challenges). This uncertainty typically drives capital into safe-haven assets and spikes volatility. LONG Gold and Volatility as a hedge against geopolitical escalation. The conflict proves to be short-lived and contained, restoring market confidence quickly.
Describes the situation as a "reckless commander in chief" starting a "war of choice" that is "strategically open ended." The characterization of the conflict as "open ended" and "illegal" suggests a period of prolonged geopolitical instability and domestic political infighting (War Powers Act challenges). This uncertainty typically drives capital into safe-haven assets and spikes volatility. LONG Gold and Volatility as a hedge against geopolitical escalation. The conflict proves to be short-lived and contained, restoring market confidence quickly.
Commodities
Long
Feb 28
$243.72
-5.3%
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 28
$658.08
-22.7%
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
Defense
Long
Feb 28
$202.62
-4.5%
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
"America does need to support Iron Dome for Israel. And ultimately, I would argue, a regional air defense system. Supremacy is critical in the skies." The Congressman is explicitly calling for government spending on specific military hardware: missile defense (Iron Dome/Patriot systems) and air superiority assets. This bipartisan pressure for a "regional air defense system" directly benefits the prime contractors responsible for these technologies. LONG defense primes with exposure to missile defense and aerospace. De-escalation of the conflict or Congressional gridlock preventing funding appropriation.
Defense
Long
Feb 28
$81.95
+51.3%
He criticizes the current administration for not "authorizing long range strikes against oil refineries around Moscow" and for not sufficiently "sanctioning Russian oil exports." A sitting U.S. Congressman advocating for kinetic strikes on major oil infrastructure (Russian refineries) and tighter sanctions signals a desire to remove supply from the global market. Furthermore, the description of the Iran situation as a "war of choice" introduces supply risk in the Strait of Hormuz. Both factors are bullish for oil prices. LONG Energy and Crude Oil futures/ETFs. Global recession dampening energy demand or a sudden diplomatic resolution.
He criticizes the current administration for not "authorizing long range strikes against oil refineries around Moscow" and for not sufficiently "sanctioning Russian oil exports." A sitting U.S. Congressman advocating for kinetic strikes on major oil infrastructure (Russian refineries) and tighter sanctions signals a desire to remove supply from the global market. Furthermore, the description of the Iran situation as a "war of choice" introduces supply risk in the Strait of Hormuz. Both factors are bullish for oil prices. LONG Energy and Crude Oil futures/ETFs. Global recession dampening energy demand or a sudden diplomatic resolution.
Commodities
Long
Feb 28
$55.92
+3.4%
He criticizes the current administration for not "authorizing long range strikes against oil refineries around Moscow" and for not sufficiently "sanctioning Russian oil exports." A sitting U.S. Congressman advocating for kinetic strikes on major oil infrastructure (Russian refineries) and tighter sanctions signals a desire to remove supply from the global market. Furthermore, the description of the Iran situation as a "war of choice" introduces supply risk in the Strait of Hormuz. Both factors are bullish for oil prices. LONG Energy and Crude Oil futures/ETFs. Global recession dampening energy demand or a sudden diplomatic resolution.
He criticizes the current administration for not "authorizing long range strikes against oil refineries around Moscow" and for not sufficiently "sanctioning Russian oil exports." A sitting U.S. Congressman advocating for kinetic strikes on major oil infrastructure (Russian refineries) and tighter sanctions signals a desire to remove supply from the global market. Furthermore, the description of the Iran situation as a "war of choice" introduces supply risk in the Strait of Hormuz. Both factors are bullish for oil prices. LONG Energy and Crude Oil futures/ETFs. Global recession dampening energy demand or a sudden diplomatic resolution.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 7 of 7 calls · sorted by mentions

Jake Auchincloss has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 7 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #449 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ITA, XLE, BNO.