Iain Marlow 5.0 1 idea

Most of the oil and natural gas coming out of the Persian Gulf, going through the Strait of Hormuz, is going to Asia... I think the market has not yet been convinced by U.S. pledges to keep the strait open. The physical oil market is trading entirely on headline risk regarding the Strait of Hormuz. A deleted tweet about a US Navy escort caused a 15% intraday drop, showing extreme sensitivity. Until the physical flow of oil is guaranteed, the geopolitical risk premium remains highly unstable. Watch oil trackers closely rather than taking a blind directional bet. The market is prone to massive whipsaws based on unverified social media posts and conflicting government statements regarding naval escorts. Going long risks a sudden diplomatic resolution or confirmed US Navy escorts crashing the price; going short risks Iran mining the strait and sending crude back over $100.