#607 Alpha Score 53.3

Howard Lutnick

Secretary of Commerce
@howardlutnick · tracked since Feb 2026
607
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Alpha Score 53.3
Calls
14
Win Rate
92.9%
return
+2.8%
Calls 14 8 Posts tracked · 0.0/day Posted today
Calls
7d 10
30d 10
90d 10
Best Calls
COIN Long +18.0%
CAT Long +7.7%
GE Long +5.6%
Worst Calls
TMUS Long -6.1%
Most Mentioned
MU ×4
INTC ×4
TSM ×4
Recent Calls
IBM Long 1 day ago
NVDA Long 1 day ago
URA Long 2 days ago
Win Rate 93% Long 14 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 50%
90d 50%
Average Return +2.8% Long Return +2.8% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +4.7%
30d +4.4%
90d +12.2%
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Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Sep 02
$89.95
+1.5%
Tariffs drive US semiconductor manufacturing boom
Lutnick confirms the administration is pursuing semiconductor tariffs where companies that build in America get relief and companies that do not pay tariffs; he cites $1.2 trillion of US semiconductor commitments, a shift from under 2% to 40-50% US production, TSMC's $265B Arizona factory, Micron's $250B memory factories, and expects Intel to succeed.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Sep 02
$943.47
+1.2%
Tariffs drive US semiconductor manufacturing boom
Lutnick confirms the administration is pursuing semiconductor tariffs where companies that build in America get relief and companies that do not pay tariffs; he cites $1.2 trillion of US semiconductor commitments, a shift from under 2% to 40-50% US production, TSMC's $265B Arizona factory, Micron's $250B memory factories, and expects Intel to succeed.
AI Memory
Long
Sep 02
$412.20
+1.1%
Tariffs drive US semiconductor manufacturing boom
Lutnick confirms the administration is pursuing semiconductor tariffs where companies that build in America get relief and companies that do not pay tariffs; he cites $1.2 trillion of US semiconductor commitments, a shift from under 2% to 40-50% US production, TSMC's $265B Arizona factory, Micron's $250B memory factories, and expects Intel to succeed.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Sep 02
$44.12
+3.8%
US nuclear buildout is coming.
Lutnick says the administration wants to replicate its semiconductor buildout approach in nuclear: launch a clear factory build in America during Trump's term, making nuclear part of the advanced manufacturing push alongside semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Sep 02
$27.22
+2.5%
Data centers create huge local economic wins
Lutnick argues that data centers create huge economics for surrounding communities and that criticism of their water use is propaganda by adversaries meant to slow the US down; he says communities that invite data centers will win and be better off.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Sep 02
$231.64
+1.1%
Massive private AI infrastructure investments in US.
Secretary Lutnick says the Trump administration is attracting enormous private AI infrastructure investment: Nvidia committed $500 billion to AI infrastructure and supercomputers, TSMC $265 billion to semiconductor manufacturing, IBM over $150 billion, Micron $250 billion for memory fabs, plus SpaceX and Anthropic commitments, signaling a broad US AI infrastructure buildout.
AI Software
Long
Sep 02
$224.10
+2.3%
Massive private AI infrastructure investments in US.
Secretary Lutnick says the Trump administration is attracting enormous private AI infrastructure investment: Nvidia committed $500 billion to AI infrastructure and supercomputers, TSMC $265 billion to semiconductor manufacturing, IBM over $150 billion, Micron $250 billion for memory fabs, plus SpaceX and Anthropic commitments, signaling a broad US AI infrastructure buildout.
AI Compute
Long
Sep 02
$75.56
+0.4%
Rare earths are strategic decoupling beneficiaries
Lutnick says critical minerals and rare earths are a key way for the United States to separate from China because China is weaponizing them against the US economy; domestic rare earth and magnet companies are strategically important.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Sep 02
$549.48
+0.6%
Tariffs drive US semiconductor manufacturing boom
Lutnick confirms the administration is pursuing semiconductor tariffs where companies that build in America get relief and companies that do not pay tariffs; he cites $1.2 trillion of US semiconductor commitments, a shift from under 2% to 40-50% US production, TSMC's $265B Arizona factory, Micron's $250B memory factories, and expects Intel to succeed.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Sep 02
$81.85
+0.3%
Treasury yields should stabilize and decline
Lutnick expects the bond market to stabilize better than people imagine because restored tariffs will generate $300B-400B a year, reduce the budget deficit, lift GDP growth back above 3%, and the Iran economic pressure will be effective; he expects rates to stabilize and decline over the next six months.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Feb 10
$742.37
+7.7%
Lutnick defends the weakening dollar (down 10%) as a correction that aids exports, stating, "We are exporting more... that's why our GDP has grown." He predicts "enormous manufacturing job growth." A Commerce Secretary explicitly endorsing a weaker dollar is a green light for large US exporters. A cheaper dollar makes American heavy machinery and engines more competitive globally against foreign rivals. LONG Industrials (Caterpillar, GE) that benefit from FX tailwinds and pro-manufacturing trade policies. Inflationary pressure from import costs (tariffs).
Lutnick defends the weakening dollar (down 10%) as a correction that aids exports, stating, "We are exporting more... that's why our GDP has grown." He predicts "enormous manufacturing job growth." A Commerce Secretary explicitly endorsing a weaker dollar is a green light for large US exporters. A cheaper dollar makes American heavy machinery and engines more competitive globally against foreign rivals. LONG Industrials (Caterpillar, GE) that benefit from FX tailwinds and pro-manufacturing trade policies. Inflationary pressure from import costs (tariffs).
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
Feb 10
$162.51
+18.0%
When asked about Tether, Lutnick states, "I believe US dollar backed stablecoins should be fully audited." Senator Reed criticizes the "Genius Act" loopholes for unaudited offshore coins. The administration is signaling a crackdown on offshore/unaudited stablecoins (Tether) while favoring regulated, audited US alternatives. This regulatory moat favors compliant US-based crypto infrastructure. LONG Coinbase (issuer of USDC, the compliant alternative) as regulatory pressure mounts on Tether. Over-regulation stifling the broader crypto market.
When asked about Tether, Lutnick states, "I believe US dollar backed stablecoins should be fully audited." Senator Reed criticizes the "Genius Act" loopholes for unaudited offshore coins. The administration is signaling a crackdown on offshore/unaudited stablecoins (Tether) while favoring regulated, audited US alternatives. This regulatory moat favors compliant US-based crypto infrastructure. LONG Coinbase (issuer of USDC, the compliant alternative) as regulatory pressure mounts on Tether. Over-regulation stifling the broader crypto market.
Crypto Infrastructure
Long
Feb 10
$316.33
+5.6%
Lutnick defends the weakening dollar (down 10%) as a correction that aids exports, stating, "We are exporting more... that's why our GDP has grown." He predicts "enormous manufacturing job growth." A Commerce Secretary explicitly endorsing a weaker dollar is a green light for large US exporters. A cheaper dollar makes American heavy machinery and engines more competitive globally against foreign rivals. LONG Industrials (Caterpillar, GE) that benefit from FX tailwinds and pro-manufacturing trade policies. Inflationary pressure from import costs (tariffs).
Lutnick defends the weakening dollar (down 10%) as a correction that aids exports, stating, "We are exporting more... that's why our GDP has grown." He predicts "enormous manufacturing job growth." A Commerce Secretary explicitly endorsing a weaker dollar is a green light for large US exporters. A cheaper dollar makes American heavy machinery and engines more competitive globally against foreign rivals. LONG Industrials (Caterpillar, GE) that benefit from FX tailwinds and pro-manufacturing trade policies. Inflationary pressure from import costs (tariffs).
Aerospace
Long
Feb 10
$199.43
-6.1%
Lutnick highlights Kansas's broadband plan, noting they achieved coverage with "67% fixed wireless" and only "29.5% fiber," calling it the "best performing service" for the price. The federal government is officially validating Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) as a primary solution for rural broadband, moving away from the previous administration's fiber-optic obsession. This reduces capex pressure on fiber builds and validates the business model of FWA providers. LONG T-Mobile (leader in 5G Home Internet/FWA) as the primary beneficiary of federal grant dollars shifting toward wireless solutions. Capacity constraints on 5G networks in rural areas.
Lutnick highlights Kansas's broadband plan, noting they achieved coverage with "67% fixed wireless" and only "29.5% fiber," calling it the "best performing service" for the price. The federal government is officially validating Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) as a primary solution for rural broadband, moving away from the previous administration's fiber-optic obsession. This reduces capex pressure on fiber builds and validates the business model of FWA providers. LONG T-Mobile (leader in 5G Home Internet/FWA) as the primary beneficiary of federal grant dollars shifting toward wireless solutions. Capacity constraints on 5G networks in rural areas.
Telecom Operators
Showing 14 of 14 calls · sorted by mentions

Howard Lutnick has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 14 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #607 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MU, INTC, TSM.