Buzzberg Cup Live
#243 Alpha Score 76.0

Henrik Zeberg

Head Macroeconomist, SwissBlock
· tracked since Apr 2026
243
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Alpha Score 76.0
Calls
10
Win Rate
70.0%
return
+4.5%
Calls 10 5 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 3
90d 9
Best Calls
QQQ Long +14.8%
ETH Long +13.4%
EWY Short +12.7%
Worst Calls
TLT Long -2.6%
IWM Long -2.4%
GLD Long -1.5%
Most Mentioned
QQQ ×5
BTC ×3
GOLD ×3
Recent Calls
IWM Long 2 weeks ago
TLT Long 1 month ago
DXY Short 1 month ago
Win Rate 70% Long 7 Short 3
Win Rate
7d 60%
30d 83%
90d 100%
Average Return +4.5% Long Return +3.8% Short Return +6.3%
Average Return
7d -1.1%
30d +6.8%
90d +17.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 08
$605.87
+14.8%
Speaker explicitly states "we have not seen the top yet," identifies the current ~10% pullback as a "buy the dip opportunity," and forecasts a "30%+ rally" in the Nasdaq to above 30,000. The economic deterioration (labor market, credit) is real but has not reached the critical "waterfall moment." Market technicals (bullish engulfing candle after >4 weeks of decline) and historical parallels (2000, 2007) show major indices can surge dramatically just before a crash. LONG because the set-up favors a powerful, final risk-on rally before the cycle truly turns. The speaker is personally "full risk on" in anticipation. The coincident indicators in the business cycle model cross into recession territory sooner than expected, aborting the rally.
Speaker explicitly states "we have not seen the top yet," identifies the current ~10% pullback as a "buy the dip opportunity," and forecasts a "30%+ rally" in the Nasdaq to above 30,000. The economic deterioration (labor market, credit) is real but has not reached the critical "waterfall moment." Market technicals (bullish engulfing candle after >4 weeks of decline) and historical parallels (2000, 2007) show major indices can surge dramatically just before a crash. LONG because the set-up favors a powerful, final risk-on rally before the cycle truly turns. The speaker is personally "full risk on" in anticipation. The coincident indicators in the business cycle model cross into recession territory sooner than expected, aborting the rally.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 11
$62859.30
+2.9%
Crypto will rally on rotation from stocks
Animal spirits and capital rotation from AI stocks will drive a sharp short-term rally in crypto, with Bitcoin bouncing to $100k, Ethereum reaching new all-time highs, and altcoins surging, as the final phase of the blowoff top.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 18
$86.74
-2.6%
Buy US Treasuries for crash safety.
During the coming market crash after the melt-up, US Treasury bonds will be the only true safe haven, providing essential dollar exposure as a global scramble for dollars and safe assets unfolds, much like in 2008.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jun 11
$1651.19
+13.4%
Crypto will rally on rotation from stocks
Animal spirits and capital rotation from AI stocks will drive a sharp short-term rally in crypto, with Bitcoin bouncing to $100k, Ethereum reaching new all-time highs, and altcoins surging, as the final phase of the blowoff top.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 11
$373.93
-1.5%
Gold will rally as dollar drops
Gold will thrive as the US dollar weakens, with the DXY expected to fall to 94, supporting higher gold prices.
Commodities
Long
Jun 11
$728.48
+2.0%
NASDAQ and US stocks rally further
The market is in a massive bubble, and the blowoff top phase is underway, with the NASDAQ and US equities set to continue rallying as capital rotates from Asian markets that have already topped, though increasing volatility is expected.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 02
$301.34
-2.4%
Small caps outperform in blow-off.
In the final blow-off top phase, money rotates from large caps into small caps and riskier assets. Russell 2000 has already started outperforming the S&P 500 over the last two months and that rotation will continue.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jun 26
$373.64
+1.4%
Gold and silver fall during crash
During the coming credit crunch and crisis, gold and silver will fall because investors will need cash to cover loans and solve liquidity demands, just as they did during the 2008 financial crisis. They are not safe havens in that phase.
Commodities
Short
Jun 26
$53.28
+4.7%
Gold and silver fall during crash
During the coming credit crunch and crisis, gold and silver will fall because investors will need cash to cover loans and solve liquidity demands, just as they did during the 2008 financial crisis. They are not safe havens in that phase.
Commodities
Short
Jun 11
$186.12
+12.7%
KOSPI and Nikkei have already topped
Asian equity markets such as KOSPI (South Korea) and Nikkei (Japan) have already reached major tops, acting as a leading indicator for a global downturn and implying significant downside ahead.
Equity Indexes
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

Henrik Zeberg has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #243 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: QQQ, BTC, GOLD.