Trump: "We are destroying Iran's missile capabilities... campaign could last for four or five weeks." Conley: "This is going to be a test of wills... The entire region is swept in this." The administration is committing to a prolonged air campaign ("weeks") and potentially ground operations. This necessitates the massive expenditure and subsequent replenishment of precision munitions, missile defense interceptors (Patriots/THAAD), and air support logistics. Defense primes are the direct beneficiaries of this volume. LONG Defense Prime Contractors. A rapid diplomatic resolution or a sudden de-escalation by the Trump administration to avoid economic fallout before midterms.