Calls
17
#91
Alpha Score 93.0
Grant Beaty
Software dev & racecar driver turned L/S fund manager
Win Rate
70.6%
return
+15.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 23
$420.97
+126.4%
Prefer TSM and MU over NVDA as lower-risk ways to play compute demand upside; author believes model performance will surprise to the upside, making semiconductor supply-chain names attractive with less single-stock risk.
Prefer TSM and MU over NVDA as lower-risk ways to play compute demand upside; author believes model performance will surprise to the upside, making semiconductor supply-chain names attractive with less single-stock risk.
AI Memory
Long
Apr 03
$54.67
+0.9%
The author advocates a long position in a rolling oil ETF as a hedge/speculation that structural factors (backwardation, tanker transit delays) will keep oil prices elevated regardless of specific war outcomes.
The author advocates a long position in a rolling oil ETF as a hedge/speculation that structural factors (backwardation, tanker transit delays) will keep oil prices elevated regardless of specific war outcomes.
Commodities
Long
Feb 17
$89.91
-8.9%
Buy long-duration Treasuries; author is positioned long TLT on the thesis that the Fed's "stable prices" mandate (not a strict 2% target) may allow it to tolerate supply-side inflation differently, with central banks unlikely to pivot their framework immediately.
Buy long-duration Treasuries; author is positioned long TLT on the thesis that the Fed's "stable prices" mandate (not a strict 2% target) may allow it to tolerate supply-side inflation differently, with central banks unlikely to pivot their framework immediately.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 31
$129.20
+12.9%
Author discloses an existing long position in Oracle, implicitly aligned with the inference/cloud demand thesis from the parent thread, though expressing skepticism about the most aggressive demand projections.
Author discloses an existing long position in Oracle, implicitly aligned with the inference/cloud demand thesis from the parent thread, though expressing skepticism about the most aggressive demand projections.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jul 28
$77.90
+15.5%
Copper prices remain well supported above $13,000/ton due to extremely tight supply, with miners struggling to deliver new tons, mine supply growth near zero this year, and demand resilient; prices sustainable at current levels even if geopolitical risks ease.
Commodities
Long
May 02
$267.55
-4.4%
Buy AMZN on strong cloud computing demand growth and efficiency gains from fulfillment automation, driving revenue and margin expansion.
Buy AMZN on strong cloud computing demand growth and efficiency gains from fulfillment automation, driving revenue and margin expansion.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 22
$710.15
+7.7%
Buy broad equities (SPY) as temporary economic disruptions are overstated; equity valuations are based on long-term cash flows and should not collapse for transient issues, akin to the post-COVID rebound.
Buy broad equities (SPY) as temporary economic disruptions are overstated; equity valuations are based on long-term cash flows and should not collapse for transient issues, akin to the post-COVID rebound.
Equity Indexes
Short
Feb 28
$7.03
+5.4%
LZ is unattractive — near-zero GAAP earnings, minimal growth, and a 20x valuation even on an adjusted basis represents excessive risk given rapid technological disruption that could render its legal-services model obsolete before the multiple is earned back.
LZ is unattractive — near-zero GAAP earnings, minimal growth, and a 20x valuation even on an adjusted basis represents excessive risk given rapid technological disruption that could render its legal-services model obsolete before the multiple is earned back.
Internet Platforms
Long
Feb 28
$177.19
+27.0%
Buy NVDA as AI-driven corporate layoffs create FOMO among companies, accelerating AI adoption and driving higher compute demand — a direct tailwind for Nvidia's data center business.
Buy NVDA as AI-driven corporate layoffs create FOMO among companies, accelerating AI adoption and driving higher compute demand — a direct tailwind for Nvidia's data center business.
AI Compute
Long
Feb 23
$141.04
+4.1%
Author highlights MHO at 1x tangible book and 10x earnings, then says investors should be long cheap physical goods and services, making MHO the cited long example.
Author highlights MHO at 1x tangible book and 10x earnings, then says investors should be long cheap physical goods and services, making MHO the cited long example.
Homebuilders
Long
Feb 23
$370.04
+12.2%
Prefer TSM and MU over NVDA as lower-risk ways to play compute demand upside; author believes model performance will surprise to the upside, making semiconductor supply-chain names attractive with less single-stock risk.
Prefer TSM and MU over NVDA as lower-risk ways to play compute demand upside; author believes model performance will surprise to the upside, making semiconductor supply-chain names attractive with less single-stock risk.
Foundry Equipment
Short
Feb 18
$126.88
+16.4%
Short WMT on valuation grounds; author argues WMT trades at a stretched multiple without the brand cult or loyalty anchors that justify COST's premium, making the valuation unjustifiable.
Short WMT on valuation grounds; author argues WMT trades at a stretched multiple without the brand cult or loyalty anchors that justify COST's premium, making the valuation unjustifiable.
Staples Retail
Short
Feb 06
$5.12
+32.4%
Short BGS alongside NWL; speaker adds to existing short on today's staples pop, citing sector-wide overvaluation with XLP P/E at all-time highs as the backdrop for continued downside.
Short BGS alongside NWL; speaker adds to existing short on today's staples pop, citing sector-wide overvaluation with XLP P/E at all-time highs as the backdrop for continued downside.
Packaged Foods
Short
Feb 06
$4.59
-30.3%
Short NWL as speaker adds to existing short position; staples sector P/E has reached all-time highs, suggesting the pop is a selling opportunity into continued price deterioration.
Short NWL as speaker adds to existing short position; staples sector P/E has reached all-time highs, suggesting the pop is a selling opportunity into continued price deterioration.
Personal Care
Short
Feb 03
$480.42
-2.0%
Re-short MCO above 40x earnings multiple; AI disruption of credit rating agencies poses structural threat to MCO's business model, making current valuation too rich to hold.
Re-short MCO above 40x earnings multiple; AI disruption of credit rating agencies poses structural threat to MCO's business model, making current valuation too rich to hold.
Capital Markets
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Grant Beaty has 17 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 17 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 71% across 17 evaluated calls, average return +15.2%. Ranked #91 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MU, BNO, TLT.
