George Ferguson

Senior Aerospace, Defense & Airlines Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
@gtfiv · tracked since Mar 2026
Calls 4 5 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 4
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
NOC long -29.0%
LMT long -23.6%
RTX long -17.7%
Most Mentioned
BA ×1
LMT ×1
RTX ×1
Recent Calls
RTX long 2 months ago
BA long 2 months ago
NOC long 2 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 4 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return -19.4% Long Return -19.4% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -4.0%
30d -6.6%
90d
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 07
$231.11
-7.2%
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
NatSec
Long
Mar 07
$671.77
-23.6%
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
NatSec
Long
Mar 07
$756.13
-29.0%
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
NatSec
Long
Mar 07
$209.76
-17.7%
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
The White House met with contractors (Lockheed, Northrop, Boeing) to "quadruple munitions production." General Petraeus highlights "Missile Math," noting the US is firing expensive interceptors (Patriots/SM-6s) faster than they can be replaced against cheap Iranian drones. The depletion of US stockpiles necessitates a massive, multi-year replenishment cycle. This is no longer just about R&D; it is about immediate, high-volume manufacturing orders. Ferguson explicitly states the "big winners" will be Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing for both long-range and short-range munitions. LONG. The "quadrupling" of production ensures revenue visibility regardless of the war's duration. Supply chain bottlenecks preventing rapid scaling; potential ceasefire reducing urgency (though restocking will still be needed).
NatSec
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