Buzzberg Cup Live
#745 Alpha Score 26.4

Geo Chen

Global macro trader; ex-head of FX trading, Credit Suisse
@fidenzamacro · tracked since Mar 2026
745
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Alpha Score 26.4
Calls
13
Win Rate
38.5%
return
-4.7%
Calls 13 34 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
EWY Long +20.5%
BNO Long +14.5%
SPY Long +8.2%
Worst Calls
USO Short -44.0%
LIT Long -22.3%
UNG Long -14.5%
Most Mentioned
GOLD ×7
BNO ×6
SPY ×3
Recent Calls
LIT Long 2 months ago
TLT Short 3 months ago
EEM Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 38% Long 10 Short 3
Win Rate
7d 46%
30d 46%
90d 42%
Average Return -4.7% Long Return -0.6% Short Return -18.1%
Average Return
7d +0.7%
30d -2.9%
90d -2.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 30
$414.58
-11.1%
Gold sentiment is extremely bearish, RSI oversold, price bounced off 200-dma and 36.8% retracement; forced liquidations abating as correlation with equities breaks.
Gold sentiment is extremely bearish, RSI oversold, price bounced off 200-dma and 36.8% retracement; forced liquidations abating as correlation with equities breaks.
Commodities
Long
Mar 09
$42.72
+14.5%
Author believes the Iran war will disrupt energy supply much worse than expected, and the market is beginning to price it in.
Author believes the Iran war will disrupt energy supply much worse than expected, and the market is beginning to price it in.
Commodities
Short
Mar 23
$660.56
-12.4%
Plan to re-short ES if Trump backs down from Iran power plant threats, which would trigger a squeeze and provide a better entry; speaker views any relief rally as a selling opportunity.
Plan to re-short ES if Trump backs down from Iran power plant threats, which would trigger a squeeze and provide a better entry; speaker views any relief rally as a selling opportunity.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 05
$88.01
-22.3%
The war in Iran is accelerating the shift to EVs and clean energy, benefiting lithium and battery technology, and the author believes LIT will outperform as a result.
The war in Iran is accelerating the shift to EVs and clean energy, benefiting lithium and battery technology, and the author believes LIT will outperform as a result.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Mar 23
$86.22
+2.0%
Plans to re-short Treasuries on the long end (explicitly not 2s) if a geopolitical de-escalation triggers a squeeze; shifting duration exposure away from the front end.
Plans to re-short Treasuries on the long end (explicitly not 2s) if a geopolitical de-escalation triggers a squeeze; shifting duration exposure away from the front end.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 09
$66487.80
-2.7%
BTC is showing good relative strength and serves as a hedge alongside commodity and equity positions.
BTC is showing good relative strength and serves as a hedge alongside commodity and equity positions.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 09
$18.20
-2.3%
Corn relies most on fertilizer among the big three ags, and fertilizer supply is disrupted by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
Corn relies most on fertilizer among the big three ags, and fertilizer supply is disrupted by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
Commodities
Long
Mar 09
$58.45
+8.1%
Author closed the long EEM position as part of raising cash in his long-term portfolio.
Author closed the long EEM position as part of raising cash in his long-term portfolio.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 09
$133.89
+20.5%
Author closed the long EWY position as part of raising cash in his long-term portfolio.
Author closed the long EWY position as part of raising cash in his long-term portfolio.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 09
$37.10
-4.7%
Author continues to hold Brazil exposure in his long-term portfolio while raising cash from other EM positions.
Author continues to hold Brazil exposure in his long-term portfolio while raising cash from other EM positions.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 09
$12.31
-14.5%
A large portion of global natural gas supply goes through the Strait of Hormuz, so a shortage will disrupt supply significantly.
A large portion of global natural gas supply goes through the Strait of Hormuz, so a shortage will disrupt supply significantly.
Commodities
Long
Mar 02
$686.38
+8.2%
Author discloses flipping from short to long SPX at the futures open on 2026-03-02, closing a prior short and initiating a new long; no explicit catalyst stated.
Author discloses flipping from short to long SPX at the futures open on 2026-03-02, closing a prior short and initiating a new long; no explicit catalyst stated.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 02
$87.19
-44.0%
Author discloses an active short oil position entered at the futures open on 2026-03-02; no explicit catalyst stated beyond the trade entry itself.
Author discloses an active short oil position entered at the futures open on 2026-03-02; no explicit catalyst stated beyond the trade entry itself.
Commodities
Showing 13 of 13 calls · sorted by mentions

Geo Chen has 13 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 12 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #745 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GOLD, BNO, SPY.