Gareth Soloway

Bitcoin sentiment is at extreme lows (Fear & Greed index below 10), and the chart shows an "inside bar" bullish pattern. Soloway expects a regulatory bill to pass soon, acting as a catalyst. When sentiment is universally bearish but price holds support, it often signals a "washout" is complete. A relief rally is probable to close the divergence gap between crypto and equities before the long-term downtrend resumes. Long Bitcoin (via ETF) for a swing trade targeting $80,000–$85,000 on the underlying asset (approx. 20-30% upside). Breaking below $60,000 (underlying) invalidates the bullish inside bar pattern.

Soloway explicitly states the Oracle (ORCL) chart is "almost identical" to the Bitcoin chart and that software stocks are "due for a relief rally." Since he forecasts a 20-30% bounce in Bitcoin based on technicals, the correlated asset (Oracle/Software) should experience a similar sympathy rally. Long Oracle as a tactical swing trade to capture the sector rotation into software. If the broad market (S&P 500) sells off aggressively, high-beta software stocks may get dragged down despite the specific setup.

Apple has rallied into massive trendline resistance and is showing rejection; it is expected to decline soon while semiconductors bounce, and then fall further along with semis as the economy weakens.

Gold is forming a wedge pattern that is squeezing price and may produce one final flush to the $3,500 level, which aligns with prior pivot highs and would represent an attractive bottom to buy for long-term holds.

Rate-hike fears are overblown; the 10-year yield around 4.5% has already priced in the likely one hike at most, and a weakening economy later this year should push yields lower over the next 3-6 months.

Oil faces strong technical resistance around $87 (prior breakdown zone with high rejection probability) and political pressure from the president to keep prices low ahead of midterms, so a short at $87 is expected to ride back down to the $60s.

Gold is in a short-term downtrend with lower highs/lows; needs to flush speculative buyers and is headed to $3500 by early 2027, with a parallel channel supporting the target.

Silver is also headed lower in the precious metals correction, likely to $50 an ounce or below.

Bitcoin shows a bear flag pattern after its decline; a sideways consolidation with a slight upward tilt typically resolves lower. He sees limited upside unless above $85,000 and expects a drop to about $50,000 (38% decline).

Micron Technology is hitting a parallel channel resistance with negative RSI divergence. He expects a reversal back to the lower channel at $350, a drop of about $200.

The S&P 500 is in a late-stage bull market with narrow leadership, similar to 2000. The index is testing the upper trendline of a parallel channel. Gareth is shorting into resistance, expecting a pullback or reversal. He uses a leg-in approach.

Natural gas is a catch-up trade as oil declines; data centers may drive demand. He sees a potential breakout above $2.88 and is long, putting money behind it.

In a potential "Japan-style" 20-year sideways market, capital appreciation will be non-existent. Soloway specifically names Microsoft as a solid company that pays a dividend. When stock prices stagnate for decades, dividends become the *only* source of real return and the only hedge against inflation. Investors must shift from "growth" to "yield + quality." Long high-quality dividend payers like MSFT to preserve purchasing power over a multi-decade stagnation period. Tech valuations compress further, reducing the principal investment despite the dividend yield.

US Shale production is reaching the end of its "boom" phase (production drops off after 2 years), and geopolitical tensions with Iran are escalating. Supply constraints (shale depletion) combined with war risk premiums create a floor for oil prices. Even in a recession, supply shocks could drive oil to $100/barrel. Long Oil on pullbacks, using $55/barrel (underlying WTI) as the critical "line in the sand" support level. A deep global recession could crush demand faster than supply constricts.