Gareth Soloway

Bitcoin sentiment is at extreme lows (Fear & Greed index below 10), and the chart shows an "inside bar" bullish pattern. Soloway expects a regulatory bill to pass soon, acting as a catalyst. When sentiment is universally bearish but price holds support, it often signals a "washout" is complete. A relief rally is probable to close the divergence gap between crypto and equities before the long-term downtrend resumes. Long Bitcoin (via ETF) for a swing trade targeting $80,000–$85,000 on the underlying asset (approx. 20-30% upside). Breaking below $60,000 (underlying) invalidates the bullish inside bar pattern.

Bitcoin shows a bear flag pattern after its decline; a sideways consolidation with a slight upward tilt typically resolves lower. He sees limited upside unless above $85,000 and expects a drop to about $50,000 (38% decline).

Micron Technology is hitting a parallel channel resistance with negative RSI divergence. He expects a reversal back to the lower channel at $350, a drop of about $200.

The S&P 500 is in a late-stage bull market with narrow leadership, similar to 2000. The index is testing the upper trendline of a parallel channel. Gareth is shorting into resistance, expecting a pullback or reversal. He uses a leg-in approach.

Natural gas is a catch-up trade as oil declines; data centers may drive demand. He sees a potential breakout above $2.88 and is long, putting money behind it.

In a potential "Japan-style" 20-year sideways market, capital appreciation will be non-existent. Soloway specifically names Microsoft as a solid company that pays a dividend. When stock prices stagnate for decades, dividends become the *only* source of real return and the only hedge against inflation. Investors must shift from "growth" to "yield + quality." Long high-quality dividend payers like MSFT to preserve purchasing power over a multi-decade stagnation period. Tech valuations compress further, reducing the principal investment despite the dividend yield.

Soloway explicitly states the Oracle (ORCL) chart is "almost identical" to the Bitcoin chart and that software stocks are "due for a relief rally." Since he forecasts a 20-30% bounce in Bitcoin based on technicals, the correlated asset (Oracle/Software) should experience a similar sympathy rally. Long Oracle as a tactical swing trade to capture the sector rotation into software. If the broad market (S&P 500) sells off aggressively, high-beta software stocks may get dragged down despite the specific setup.

US Shale production is reaching the end of its "boom" phase (production drops off after 2 years), and geopolitical tensions with Iran are escalating. Supply constraints (shale depletion) combined with war risk premiums create a floor for oil prices. Even in a recession, supply shocks could drive oil to $100/barrel. Long Oil on pullbacks, using $55/barrel (underlying WTI) as the critical "line in the sand" support level. A deep global recession could crush demand faster than supply constricts.