fcfinvest 5.0 58 ideas
After 1 day
62%winrate
+0.5% avg
26W / 16L · 42/50 ideas
After 1 week
44%winrate
-1.4% avg
17W / 22L · 39/50 ideas
After 1 month
43%winrate
-4.5% avg
9W / 12L · 21/50 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
ETF
42 ideas
-0.9%
Commodity
5 ideas
-21.6%
Stock
5 ideas
+2.7%
currency
4 ideas
-1.3%
Crypto
2 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY
17 ideas
67% W
+1.2%
USO
13 ideas
50% W
-2.2%
WTI
3 ideas
0% W
-27.7%
GLD
2 ideas
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ITA
2 ideas
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Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG
+27.7%
The author's geopolitical analysis, using a historical analogy, suggests Iran will not capitulate, implying a prolonged ...
Mar 07
XLE LONG
+5.5%
The author expects energy prices to rise based on the view that geopolitical events will eventually force European leade...
Mar 06
PLTR SHORT
+4.5%
@MacroJason I don't want to get on the list of Palantir-controlled drones - that is my base case for writing here 😉
Mar 08
Worst calls
WTI SHORT
-27.7%
How will this admin not flush out all the levered longs in oil before the W/E with some fake news headline?
Mar 06
USO SHORT
-27.7%
The author expects the US administration will intentionally release negative news to drive oil prices down and liquidate...
Mar 06
TLT LONG
-4.4%
The author expects inflation to be muted because the current bank credit expansion is narrowly focused on AI rather than...
Feb 28
Short equities as corporate cashflows are expected to contract during an initial deflationary period prior to government stimulus.
SPY
MED
Apr 16, 16:31
Buy gold as a resilient wealth preservation asset that performs well during both initial deflationary shocks and subsequent government interventions.
GLD
HIGH
Apr 16, 16:31
Long government bonds as a tactical hedge against an initial deflationary scenario before fiscal or monetary interventions occur.
TLT
MED
Apr 16, 16:31
Buy HYPE as its aggressive buyback mechanism drives a 20% annual reduction in circulating supply, creating deep fundamental value.
HYPE
HIGH
Apr 16, 10:04
Short oil (USO) due to an anticipated U.S. blockade of Iranian oil exports, which would remove a significant supply source from the global market and likely cause a price drop.
USO
HIGH
Apr 16, 09:17
Short oil (USO) on the thesis that a U.S. blockade will sever Iranian supply to China, creating a significant negative supply shock for crude prices.
USO
HIGH
Apr 16, 09:15
Avoid Chinese equities as the country projects public geopolitical weakness, making it an unfavorable investment destination.
FXI
MED
Apr 14, 11:39
Go long Eni as it is an undervalued oil major with strong leadership and a network positioned to benefit from potential Strait of Hormuz closures.
E
HIGH
Apr 14, 11:35
ETH selling pressure from a major institutional cohort has potentially ended, creating a setup for a price stabilization or rally.
ETH
MED
Apr 11, 08:11
Equities will continue to squeeze higher driven by mechanical flows (CTA buying, re-levering, and short/put covering) until actual fundamental earnings deterioration occurs.
SPY
MED
Apr 10, 12:25
The author argues that a de facto U.S.-Iran understanding to protect the Strait of Hormuz reduces a major regional risk premium, which is a net positive for broader equity markets.
SPY
MED
Apr 08, 08:45
The author states the Iran-related conflict is definitively ending, which would remove the geopolitical risk premium from oil prices and likely boost broader market sentiment.
USO
HIGH
Apr 08, 06:43
Strong growth in US bank credit, particularly Commercial & Industrial loans, supports the economy and equities by preventing a recession.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 06, 11:38
Long December oil futures as a hedge against equity market stress, as spot oil and SPX are moving in tandem and a low SPX (high volatility) signals a high equity risk premium.
USO
HIGH
Apr 03, 20:21
A geopolitical shock from an imminent military operation could break the market's perception of U.S. invincibility, leading to a sharp drop in the S&P 500 and potentially undermining the dollar's safe-haven status.
SPY
MED
Apr 02, 14:30