#309 Alpha Score 83.1

Emmanuel Lemelson

CIO of Lemelson Capital Management; Orthodox Priest
· tracked since Apr 2025
309
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Alpha Score 83.1
Calls
12
Win Rate
60.0%
return
+18.1%
Calls 12 3 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 60% Long 11 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 36%
30d 64%
90d 77%
Average Return +18.1% Long Return +26.0% Short Return -52.9%
Average Return
7d -2.6%
30d +2.3%
90d +12.6%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 18
$46.59
+21.4%
Unloved US health insurers are cheap.
Large US health insurers provide a ubiquitous service with few alternatives for Americans, so they will not disappear even if Trump administration policies hurt earnings. They trade at very low valuations with no going-concern risk, defensible moats, locked-in customers, and pricing power; Centene can reprice, and UnitedHealth has a dividend. Extreme negative sentiment and long histories of consistent earnings create an opportunity to buy productive assets at a huge discount.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 18
$314.81
+19.5%
Cheap UnitedHealth plus Buffett stake attractive.
UnitedHealth is the largest portfolio position and very cheap with a dividend. It has faced extraordinary rough patches, including the CEO assassination, ethical/regulatory scrutiny, and negative sentiment, but underlying economics are good, regulatory matters often resolve with payments or operational fixes, and new leadership is moving in the right direction. Buffett's $1.5 billion stake in UnitedHealth validates the unloved health insurer sector, and he expects it to outperform the market in coming quarters.
Healthcare Services
Long
Jul 10
$15.83
-61.3%
Buy Flower Foods on staple-demand weakness.
Flower Foods makes bread products including Dave’s Killer Bread and Nature’s Own and is getting cheaper and cheaper. Lemelson has been buying because demand for staples like bread, milk and eggs persists through economic cycles; earnings have been remarkably good despite a heavy acquisition that likely overpaid, creating a bump-in-the-road opportunity. He calls it not as screaming a bargain as Centene but a boring, defensive value holding.
Packaged Foods
Showing 3 of 12 calls · sorted by mentions

Emmanuel Lemelson has 12 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 12 tickers since April 2025. Ranked #309 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NKE, CNC, KSS.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology