Calls
12
#1243
Alpha Score 3.8
Emily Graffeo
Anchor, Bloomberg
Win Rate
8.3%
return
-19.6%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 27
$188.27
-2.5%
The S&P 500 information technology sector was the only sector to close in the green, up 3.4%, while every other sector fell, showing tech is the sole leadership area.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 25
$158.33
-4.8%
Moderna was the S&P 500's best performer, up 14%, after Wolfe Research upgraded it to Outperform from Underperform. The upgrade cited positive melanoma vaccine trial results that de-risk the company's mRNA platform.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Aug 24
$78732.00
-2.1%
Bitcoin is up about 2% on a day when other risk assets are down, showing relative strength as it climbs from the $60,000 range toward $80,000.
Crypto Assets
Long
Aug 14
$178.02
-11.6%
Reddit is being added to the S&P 500, creating a classic index-trade setup: passive funds tracking trillions of dollars will be forced to buy the stock in a few weeks, and fast money/hedge funds are front-running that forced demand, lifting the shares about 12% and adding nearly $4 billion in market cap.
Internet Platforms
Long
Aug 14
$1662.83
-7.2%
SanDisk is rallying after J.P. Morgan initiated coverage with an overweight rating following its investor day. The firm sees long-term revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens through 2030 and says SanDisk is uniquely positioned to capture the structural AI-driven memory demand inflection, with a Street-high target implying about 47% further upside.
AI Memory
Long
May 13
$13.67
+3.4%
Ford's energy storage business, including its licensing agreement with CATL, is underappreciated by the market and could be worth $10 billion, approaching Tesla's energy business valuation. There is a high likelihood Ford signs another supply agreement with hyperscalers. This differentiates Ford from auto peers and has driven a significant stock rally.
Autos & EV
Short
Apr 10
$925.00
-17.9%
Fair Isaac (FICO) fell as much as 15% after analysts pointed to a podcast where the Mortgage Bankers Association CEO discussed measures to increase credit score bureau competition. Introducing competition into the concentrated credit scoring market directly threatens FICO's dominant, high-margin business model and pricing power. SHORT as the commentary highlights a tangible regulatory/competitive risk that could structurally impair the company's long-term earnings potential. Regulatory efforts stall or fail to materially change the competitive landscape.
Fair Isaac (FICO) fell as much as 15% after analysts pointed to a podcast where the Mortgage Bankers Association CEO discussed measures to increase credit score bureau competition. Introducing competition into the concentrated credit scoring market directly threatens FICO's dominant, high-margin business model and pricing power. SHORT as the commentary highlights a tangible regulatory/competitive risk that could structurally impair the company's long-term earnings potential. Regulatory efforts stall or fail to materially change the competitive landscape.
Capital Markets
Short
Apr 10
$10.48
-7.6%
Simply Good Foods finished down ~12% after slashing its annual forecast, citing slower quarter-over-quarter Quest consumption due to weaker sales velocity in chips and bars. A guidance cut driven by a slowdown in its key growth brand (Quest) indicates fundamental deterioration in demand or competitive positioning, not a one-time issue. SHORT based on a clear negative fundamental inflection point, where management's reduced outlook signals deeper problems in core products. The sales slowdown proves temporary or is quickly corrected by new marketing or product initiatives.
Simply Good Foods finished down ~12% after slashing its annual forecast, citing slower quarter-over-quarter Quest consumption due to weaker sales velocity in chips and bars. A guidance cut driven by a slowdown in its key growth brand (Quest) indicates fundamental deterioration in demand or competitive positioning, not a one-time issue. SHORT based on a clear negative fundamental inflection point, where management's reduced outlook signals deeper problems in core products. The sales slowdown proves temporary or is quickly corrected by new marketing or product initiatives.
Packaged Foods
Short
Feb 20
$97.15
-111.7%
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity
Short
Feb 20
$177.14
-55.5%
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity
Short
Feb 20
$10.81
-7.6%
Blue Owl (OWL) fell 4% (10% on the week) after restricting withdrawals from a retail-focused private credit fund and failing to secure financing for a CoreWeave project. These events trigger "second-order" fears regarding liquidity and the quality of underlying assets in the Private Credit sector. If a major player restricts withdrawals, it suggests systemic stress or a mismatch in liquidity terms. SHORT (Liquidity/Credit Risk). Company successfully stabilizes liquidity; market dismisses this as an isolated incident.
Blue Owl (OWL) fell 4% (10% on the week) after restricting withdrawals from a retail-focused private credit fund and failing to secure financing for a CoreWeave project. These events trigger "second-order" fears regarding liquidity and the quality of underlying assets in the Private Credit sector. If a major player restricts withdrawals, it suggests systemic stress or a mismatch in liquidity terms. SHORT (Liquidity/Credit Risk). Company successfully stabilizes liquidity; market dismisses this as an isolated incident.
Capital Markets
Short
Feb 20
$159.75
-10.6%
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity stocks (Zscaler, Cloudflare, CrowdStrike) dropped ~8% following the release of a new Anthropic tool with security features. The market perceives a threat that advanced AI models (like Anthropic's) could integrate security features natively, rendering standalone cybersecurity SaaS platforms less essential or forcing pricing pressure. SHORT (Disruption Risk/Sentiment Shift). Market overreaction to a single product announcement; these companies integrate AI to bolster their own moats.
Cybersecurity
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Emily Graffeo has 12 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 12 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #1243 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, CRWD, F.
