#80 Alpha Score 95.7

Doug Casey

Founder, International Man
@RealDougCasey · tracked since Feb 2025
80
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Alpha Score 95.7
Calls
14
Win Rate
92.9%
return
+33.2%
Calls 14 5 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 2
Win Rate 93% Long 13 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 62%
30d 88%
90d 85%
Average Return +33.2% Long Return +30.1% Short Return +73.9%
Average Return
7d +1.4%
30d +10.9%
90d +13.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jul 28
$57.64
+12.0%
Oil and oil stocks will rise.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran, Israel, Houthis, Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb) are not going away; the conflict is permanent and creates a lasting war premium on oil. With oil production costs around $80 acting as a floor, and political risk worsening, oil prices are headed higher. Oil and gas stocks are a preferred vehicle because they are cheap and not yet recognized by the market, while the oil futures market is too volatile.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 28
$121.25
+27.7%
Oil and oil stocks will rise.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran, Israel, Houthis, Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb) are not going away; the conflict is permanent and creates a lasting war premium on oil. With oil production costs around $80 acting as a floor, and political risk worsening, oil prices are headed higher. Oil and gas stocks are a preferred vehicle because they are cheap and not yet recognized by the market, while the oil futures market is too volatile.
Commodities
Long
Apr 22
$32.12
+13.2%
Commodities are cheap, buy them.
Commodities and commodity stocks are historically very cheap relative to the financial end of the market, so he likes to buy them as they are undervalued.
Commodities
Showing 3 of 14 calls · sorted by mentions

Doug Casey has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 14 tickers since February 2025. Ranked #80 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GDX, GOLD, DXY.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology