Speaker is "pretty bullish" on the "big three" including "Bitcoin soul." He notes the realized price (global average cost basis) is ~$56k and that Bitcoin historically doesn't dip far below this level. He also bought Bitcoin when it dipped into the $60ks, feeling it was a bottom. The realized price acts as a strong historical support level. Market participants are psychologically bad at realizing paper losses, making a sustained drop below this average cost basis statistically unlikely based on past cycles. LONG. The combination of a key technical metric (realized price) providing support, contrarian buying at perceived lows, and his overarching bullish market view indicates a positive outlook. A macro shock or regulatory event that breaks the historical pattern of the realized price acting as support.
Speaker is "pretty bullish" on the "big three" including "Bitcoin soul." He notes the realized price (global average cost basis) is ~$56k and that Bitcoin historically doesn't dip far below this level. He also bought Bitcoin when it dipped into the $60ks, feeling it was a bottom. The realized price acts as a strong historical support level. Market participants are psychologically bad at realizing paper losses, making a sustained drop below this average cost basis statistically unlikely based on past cycles. LONG. The combination of a key technical metric (realized price) providing support, contrarian buying at perceived lows, and his overarching bullish market view indicates a positive outlook. A macro shock or regulatory event that breaks the historical pattern of the realized price acting as support.