Calls
17
#331
Alpha Score 74.1
David Woo
Founder, David Woo Unbound
Win Rate
70.6%
return
+4.8%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 15
$121.13
+16.5%
The Iran-Israel conflict and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are actively constricting oil supply. Trump’s repeated statements that a deal is imminent signal desperation to Iran, hardening their negotiating stance and prompting them to demand tougher terms. Iran’s bold military actions suggest they feel emboldened. With oil inventories crashing, a prolonged stalemate will drive prices significantly higher. Most scenarios lead to higher oil prices, so he remains long oil.
Commodities
Short
Aug 18
$62.53
-2.4%
His fundamental view is that he wants to short AI and the broader stock market, though he is not short at this moment and is looking for better levels to enter.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jun 15
$742.90
+4.7%
AI has become too powerful, triggering inevitable global regulatory crackdowns that will severely limit the accessible capabilities of frontier models like Claude Mythos. Simultaneously, hyperscaler capex is already slowing in real terms, masked by component inflation and token maxing, which artificially boosted earnings. AI models and inference chips are rapidly commoditizing, turning the current hardware shortage into a compute glut. These forces will cause the AI capex cycle to decelerate sharply. He is short the NASDAQ and semiconductor indices to capture this bearish turn.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 20
$442.00
-10.2%
The optimal environment for gold is when the stock market is falling due to war fears, oil prices are rising, and the Federal Reserve is politically constrained from raising rates. This combination creates a very bullish setup for gold.
Commodities
Short
Aug 18
$57.48
+0.3%
He has been short the Japanese yen over the last two weeks, selling into Japanese intervention, and believes the yen is doomed. He sees Japanese intervention as a selling opportunity.
FX & Currencies
Long
Aug 18
$252.17
-10.4%
Defense stocks have been recovering and he thinks defense could do well over the next couple of months because the US is running low on ammunition, the deputy secretary of defense ordered major contractors to ramp production within 21 days, implying more government defense spending. Rheinmetall, the premier European defense contractor, has also been recovering.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Aug 18
$767.36
+0.7%
A renewed Iran escalation and a US-China confrontation over Iranian oil would be bearish for the stock market, potentially pushing US stocks down around 10% as oil spikes. The market is leaning toward an offramp and may be complacent about escalation risk.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 18
$81.66
+0.2%
David Woo thinks bonds are very cheap because he does not see inflation and growth is actually slowing, so he does not believe the Fed will be hiking rates. He likes being long bonds, especially looking at five-year yields.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 18
$10.10
+5.1%
European natural gas prices rose 10% last week and should remain supported because drought is shutting nuclear reactors, hydro generation is impaired, storage is at decade lows before winter, and Russia-Ukraine energy risk remains unresolved.
Commodities
Short
Jul 03
$2418000.00
+30.0%
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
AI Memory
Short
Jul 03
$309750.00
+15.7%
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
AI Memory
Short
Jul 03
$517.82
+11.3%
Inference chips from Broadcom, AMD, and others are becoming commoditised. Unlike training chips, they are easy to design, and even OpenAI is making its own inference chips. This erodes differentiation and compresses profit margins.
AI Compute
Short
Jul 03
$360.45
-2.8%
Inference chips from Broadcom, AMD, and others are becoming commoditised. Unlike training chips, they are easy to design, and even OpenAI is making its own inference chips. This erodes differentiation and compresses profit margins.
AI ASIC
Short
Jul 03
$975.56
+4.8%
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
AI Memory
Short
Jul 03
$393.45
+9.8%
Tesla’s valuation depends on humanoid robots and robo-taxis, but those projects are going nowhere. The Chinese are making better humanoid robots, and there are scary stories from robotaxi trial cities. The stock sold off on good revenue, signalling investor disappointment with the long-term growth story.
Autos & EV
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David Woo has 17 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 17 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 71% across 17 evaluated calls, average return +4.8%. Ranked #331 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BNO, AIQ, QQQ.
