Buzzberg Cup Live
#412 Alpha Score 59.3

David Cervantes

Macro Analyst
· tracked since Apr 2026
412
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Alpha Score 59.3
Calls
10
Win Rate
60.0%
return
+0.9%
Calls 10 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
VLO Long +30.2%
XLK Long +22.8%
XTN Long +13.8%
Worst Calls
GDX Long -28.0%
EWY Long -24.8%
GLD Long -15.7%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×1
DE ×1
GDX ×1
Recent Calls
EWY Long 1 month ago
XLK Long 3 months ago
WTI Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 60% Long 8 Short 2
Win Rate
7d 60%
30d 60%
90d 67%
Average Return +0.9% Long Return +0.6% Short Return +1.8%
Average Return
7d +0.1%
30d +3.5%
90d +3.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 03
$214.53
-24.8%
Korea trade is a no-brainer
Bullish on Korea as a country trade due to parabolic growth in semiconductors and exports, historically cheap valuations (P/E of 6 post-ceasefire), and the entire economy thriving. It is a no-brainer trade that has worked and remains cheap.
Equity Indexes
Short
Apr 12
$605.30
+1.2%
Deere hurt by rising input costs.
Companies like Deere & Company face margin pressure as they must absorb higher input costs without the ability to pass them on to consumers during supply chain disruptions.
Construction & Infrastructure
Long
Apr 12
$99.12
-28.0%
Gold miners leveraged to gold price upside.
Gold miners are heavily leveraged to the spot price of gold and are well positioned to profit as gold regains demand after the geopolitical deleveraging cycle paused.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 12
$437.13
-15.7%
Long gold futures as hedge and upside.
He is currently long gold futures, viewing gold as an insurance policy that was cashed in during the crisis but is now getting bid again as geopolitical tensions may abate.
Commodities
Long
Apr 12
$680.65
+9.1%
S&P 500 to rise on earnings increases.
The S&P 500 is likely to move up by year-end because earnings estimates are being marked up and the market is aligned with these increases, suggesting a breakout to the upside once geopolitical issues resolve.
Equity Indexes
Short
Apr 12
$86.49
+2.3%
Bonds to suffer due to hawkish Fed.
The labor market is holding up and the Fed may turn hawkish later in the year, while inflation outside the energy complex could keep the Fed from cutting rates, making bonds the most vulnerable asset class.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Apr 12
$238.89
+30.2%
Refiners with pricing power benefit from disruptions.
In the oil supply chain disruption, refiners like Valero Energy that have pricing power can maintain margins and benefit from choke points because they can pass increased costs to consumers.
Oil & Gas
Long
Apr 12
$128.47
-2.3%
Oil up due to persistent physical shortages.
WTI crude oil prices are likely to rise by year-end due to persistent physical shortages, as resolving the political settlement and restarting refineries will take time.
Commodities
Long
Apr 12
$142.78
+22.8%
Long XLK ETF for AI exposure.
He invests in the AI theme by buying the XLK ETF, preferring a broad sectoral approach rather than stock-picking to gain exposure to technology stocks involved in AI.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 12
$102.03
+13.8%
Transportation and logistics sector benefits from industrial renaissance.
The transportation and logistics sector is favored due to an industrial renaissance, with some stocks already back at all-time highs, indicating strength and recovery from March sell-off.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 10 of 10 calls · sorted by mentions

David Cervantes has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #412 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, DE, GDX.