#329
Alpha Score 56.4
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 03
$214.53
-1.7%
Bullish on Korea as a country trade due to parabolic growth in semiconductors and exports, historically cheap valuations (P/E of 6 post-ceasefire), and the entire economy thriving. It is a no-brainer trade that has worked and remains cheap.
Macro
Short
Apr 12
$605.30
+2.8%
Companies like Deere & Company face margin pressure as they must absorb higher input costs without the ability to pass them on to consumers during supply chain disruptions.
Other
Long
Apr 12
$99.12
-14.2%
Gold miners are heavily leveraged to the spot price of gold and are well positioned to profit as gold regains demand after the geopolitical deleveraging cycle paused.
Other
Long
Apr 12
$437.13
-6.8%
He is currently long gold futures, viewing gold as an insurance policy that was cashed in during the crisis but is now getting bid again as geopolitical tensions may abate.
Macro
Long
Apr 12
$680.65
+11.0%
The S&P 500 is likely to move up by year-end because earnings estimates are being marked up and the market is aligned with these increases, suggesting a breakout to the upside once geopolitical issues resolve.
Macro
Short
Apr 12
$86.49
+1.4%
The labor market is holding up and the Fed may turn hawkish later in the year, while inflation outside the energy complex could keep the Fed from cutting rates, making bonds the most vulnerable asset class.
Macro
Long
Apr 12
$238.89
+10.9%
In the oil supply chain disruption, refiners like Valero Energy that have pricing power can maintain margins and benefit from choke points because they can pass increased costs to consumers.
Energy
Long
Apr 12
$128.47
+9.8%
WTI crude oil prices are likely to rise by year-end due to persistent physical shortages, as resolving the political settlement and restarting refineries will take time.
Energy
Long
Apr 12
$142.78
+35.3%
He invests in the AI theme by buying the XLK ETF, preferring a broad sectoral approach rather than stock-picking to gain exposure to technology stocks involved in AI.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 12
$102.03
+8.7%
The transportation and logistics sector is favored due to an industrial renaissance, with some stocks already back at all-time highs, indicating strength and recovery from March sell-off.
Other
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