DC

David Cervantes 5.0 9 ideas

Macro Analyst
Not enough evaluated ideas yet
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
TLT SHORT $86.49 Apr 12
VLO LONG $238.20 Apr 12
DE SHORT $605.30 Apr 12
GDX LONG $99.12 Apr 12
GLD LONG $436.78 Apr 12
SPY LONG $680.65 Apr 12
XTN LONG $102.47 Apr 12
CL1! LONG $124.57 Apr 12
XLK LONG $142.78 Apr 12
By sector
ETF
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Stock
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Commodity
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY 1 ideas
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DE 1 ideas
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GDX 1 ideas
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GLD 1 ideas
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TLT 1 ideas
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▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Bonds to suffer due to hawkish Fed.
The labor market is holding up and the Fed may turn hawkish later in the year, while inflation outside the energy complex could keep the Fed from cutting rates, making bonds the most vulnerable asset class.
TLT HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Refiners with pricing power benefit from disruptions.
In the oil supply chain disruption, refiners like Valero Energy that have pricing power can maintain margins and benefit from choke points because they can pass increased costs to consumers.
VLO HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Deere hurt by rising input costs.
Companies like Deere & Company face margin pressure as they must absorb higher input costs without the ability to pass them on to consumers during supply chain disruptions.
DE HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Gold miners leveraged to gold price upside.
Gold miners are heavily leveraged to the spot price of gold and are well positioned to profit as gold regains demand after the geopolitical deleveraging cycle paused.
GDX HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Long gold futures as hedge and upside.
He is currently long gold futures, viewing gold as an insurance policy that was cashed in during the crisis but is now getting bid again as geopolitical tensions may abate.
GLD HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
S&P 500 to rise on earnings increases.
The S&P 500 is likely to move up by year-end because earnings estimates are being marked up and the market is aligned with these increases, suggesting a breakout to the upside once geopolitical issues resolve.
SPY HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Transportation and logistics sector benefits from industrial renaissance.
The transportation and logistics sector is favored due to an industrial renaissance, with some stocks already back at all-time highs, indicating strength and recovery from March sell-off.
XTN HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Oil up due to persistent physical shortages.
WTI crude oil prices are likely to rise by year-end due to persistent physical shortages, as resolving the political settlement and restarting refineries will take time.
CL1! HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
▶ YouTube ‘Nowhere Near’ Real Bear Market: This Asset Collapses Next | David Cervantes
Long XLK ETF for AI exposure.
He invests in the AI theme by buying the XLK ETF, preferring a broad sectoral approach rather than stock-picking to gain exposure to technology stocks involved in AI.
XLK HIGH The David Lin Report Apr 12, 22:16
David Cervantes
Macro Analyst
David Cervantes (Macro Analyst) | 9 trade ideas tracked | SPY, DE, GDX, GLD, TLT | YouTube | Buzzberg