Craig Packer

Co-President, Blue Owl Capital
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
OWL long -10.4%
BKLN long -0.6%
Most Mentioned
OWL ×1
BKLN ×1
Recent Calls
BKLN long 3 months ago
OWL long 3 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -5.5% Long Return -5.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -2.2%
30d -8.3%
90d -3.2%
Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 20
$20.64
-0.6%
"I think most in the industry that follow this say the ability for us to sell that size at these prices is actually a validation of value. And people have been asking questions about marks and here we are with significant third party sales at par." A primary bear thesis for the Private Credit sector is that portfolios are marked artificially high and lack liquidity. A $1.4B sale at par acts as a hard data point refuting this, suggesting the asset class is healthier than critics claim. This validation should lift sentiment across the broader sector and public BDCs (like OBDC). Bullish for the sector as valuation concerns are alleviated by transactional evidence. If it turns out the sold assets were "cherry-picked" (despite Packer's denial) and the remaining book is toxic, the sector validation would be false.
"I think most in the industry that follow this say the ability for us to sell that size at these prices is actually a validation of value. And people have been asking questions about marks and here we are with significant third party sales at par." A primary bear thesis for the Private Credit sector is that portfolios are marked artificially high and lack liquidity. A $1.4B sale at par acts as a hard data point refuting this, suggesting the asset class is healthier than critics claim. This validation should lift sentiment across the broader sector and public BDCs (like OBDC). Bullish for the sector as valuation concerns are alleviated by transactional evidence. If it turns out the sold assets were "cherry-picked" (despite Packer's denial) and the remaining book is toxic, the sector validation would be false.
Fintech
Long
Feb 20
$10.81
-10.4%
"We're not halting redemptions, just changing the form and if anything, we're accelerating redemptions... We sold $1.4 billion... at par, fair value, 99.7." The market sell-off was driven by a headline risk ("halting redemptions") that implies distress. The reality is the opposite: they have ample liquidity and are returning 6x more capital than usual. The ability to sell a massive cross-section of the portfolio at par validates the book's value and dispels the "fake marks" bear case. As the market realizes the "halt" is actually a shareholder-friendly acceleration of liquidity, the stock should re-rate. Long OWL to fade the knee-jerk negative reaction to the headline. Continued skepticism regarding the "related party" nature of the buyers (insurance clients managed by Blue Owl), or broader credit deterioration in the remaining portfolio.
"We're not halting redemptions, just changing the form and if anything, we're accelerating redemptions... We sold $1.4 billion... at par, fair value, 99.7." The market sell-off was driven by a headline risk ("halting redemptions") that implies distress. The reality is the opposite: they have ample liquidity and are returning 6x more capital than usual. The ability to sell a massive cross-section of the portfolio at par validates the book's value and dispels the "fake marks" bear case. As the market realizes the "halt" is actually a shareholder-friendly acceleration of liquidity, the stock should re-rate. Long OWL to fade the knee-jerk negative reaction to the headline. Continued skepticism regarding the "related party" nature of the buyers (insurance clients managed by Blue Owl), or broader credit deterioration in the remaining portfolio.
Fintech
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