Carry basket: short low-yielders, long high-yielders
Carry trades funded by a basket of low-yielding currencies (JPY, EUR, SEK, ILS, CLP, THB) and invested in high-yielding currencies (COP, INR, EGP) offer both carry and resilience to hawkish shocks. Egyptian pound and Colombian peso are particularly favoured longs.
The dollar/yen is forecast to reach 165 within 12 months because of persistent interest-rate differentials, a very gradual BOJ hiking cycle, dollar-supportive US macro conditions, and the role of the yen as a low-yielding carry funder. Periodic intervention may slow but not reverse the broader weakening trend.
Carry basket: short low-yielders, long high-yielders
Carry trades funded by a basket of low-yielding currencies (JPY, EUR, SEK, ILS, CLP, THB) and invested in high-yielding currencies (COP, INR, EGP) offer both carry and resilience to hawkish shocks. Egyptian pound and Colombian peso are particularly favoured longs.