#785 Alpha Score 38.5

Clare Pleydell-Bouverie

Co-Head of Global Innovation, Liontrust Asset Management
@CPBouverie · tracked since Feb 2026
785
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Alpha Score 38.5
Calls
25
Win Rate
48.0%
return
+0.2%
Calls 25 18 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 8
90d 17
Best Calls
MRNA Long +90.3%
SNOW Long +24.7%
MPC Long +23.9%
Worst Calls
WDC Long -39.9%
NBIS Long -31.0%
IGV Short -30.9%
Most Mentioned
LITE ×3
MRNA ×2
SMCI ×2
Recent Calls
214450.KQ Long 1 week ago
XOM Long 2 weeks ago
CVX Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 48% Long 23 Short 2
Win Rate
7d 32%
30d 47%
90d 38%
Average Return +0.2% Long Return +1.6% Short Return -15.8%
Average Return
7d -3.1%
30d -0.7%
90d -0.3%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 16
$970.70
-10.5%
Lumentum preferred for pure AI optical play.
Lumentum is a pure-play AI optical exposure with higher beta to the optical sector than Coherent, due to its focus on EML lasers, OCS, and CPO technologies, making it the best choice for investors seeking concentrated AI optical exposure.
AI Photonics
Long
Aug 15
$39.84
-6.8%
Super Micro is buyable but risky
Super Micro Computer's gross margin recovered from 6.3% to 17%, and it issued aggressive FY27 revenue guidance of $65-72B on strong AI server demand, but accounting credibility remains a key risk to monitor.
AI Hardware
Long
Jul 04
$79.76
+90.3%
Moderna turnaround on new pipelines.
Moderna's growth story is reviving with flu vaccine (mRNA‑1010) FDA advisory committee unanimous approval, expansion into in‑vivo CAR‑T (mRNA‑6007), big pharma M&A validating the platform, and a breakout on the daily chart from a six-month base, making it an attractive turnaround play.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Jun 20
$746.23
-39.9%
HDD supply shortage drives Western Digital higher.
Western Digital has transformed into a pure-play AI data center HDD company after the Sandisk spin-off. HDD demand is growing 40-50% annually while supply increases only 30-35%, creating a severe shortage. Morgan Stanley upgraded WDC to $650, citing strong HDD pricing and margin improvement. The HDD oligopoly (WDC, Seagate, Toshiba) benefits from the same supply crunch dynamics as memory. Western Digital's cloud revenue now 89% of total, making it a leading AI storage play.
AI Memory
Long
Feb 25
$195.56
+11.2%
Hyperscaler capital expenditure growth is significantly outpacing estimates (67% actual vs. 19% estimated). Additionally, "Physical AI" (robotics, autonomous driving) is emerging as a new demand layer not yet priced in. The market views NVDA primarily as a data center stock, ignoring the "Physical AI" cycle (robots/cars needing silicon). As autonomous driving (e.g., Wayve) and robotics scale, NVDA's addressable market expands beyond just LLM training. LONG. 2026 will be a year of accelerating "beat and raise" cycles for NVDA. Supply chain constraints (sold out) or a faster-than-expected drop in software ROI.
Hyperscaler capital expenditure growth is significantly outpacing estimates (67% actual vs. 19% estimated). Additionally, "Physical AI" (robotics, autonomous driving) is emerging as a new demand layer not yet priced in. The market views NVDA primarily as a data center stock, ignoring the "Physical AI" cycle (robots/cars needing silicon). As autonomous driving (e.g., Wayve) and robotics scale, NVDA's addressable market expands beyond just LLM training. LONG. 2026 will be a year of accelerating "beat and raise" cycles for NVDA. Supply chain constraints (sold out) or a faster-than-expected drop in software ROI.
AI Compute
Long
Aug 22
$401000.00
+3.2%
The stock is recovering towards 500,000 won.
The stock has formed a solid rounded bottom after a prolonged correction, and based on the current trend, it has the potential to recover to the 500,000 won level.
Pharma & Biotech
Long
Aug 15
$200.00
+5.5%
Geopolitical oil risk lifts energy stocks
US-Iran tensions pushed Brent up about 6% for the week, and Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears lifted energy stocks such as Chevron and Exxon Mobil.
Oil & Gas
Long
Aug 15
$971.66
-4.4%
AI data center storage demand strong
Memory and storage names rallied because Sandisk showed strong AI data center demand and expanded its buyback, while Micron, Seagate and Western Digital gained on expectations that memory prices and data center storage demand will stay strong longer.
AI Memory
Long
Aug 15
$1641.11
-7.0%
AI data center storage demand strong
Memory and storage names rallied because Sandisk showed strong AI data center demand and expanded its buyback, while Micron, Seagate and Western Digital gained on expectations that memory prices and data center storage demand will stay strong longer.
AI Memory
Long
Aug 15
$973.44
-16.4%
AI data center storage demand strong
Memory and storage names rallied because Sandisk showed strong AI data center demand and expanded its buyback, while Micron, Seagate and Western Digital gained on expectations that memory prices and data center storage demand will stay strong longer.
AI Hardware
Long
Aug 15
$160.10
+2.8%
Geopolitical oil risk lifts energy stocks
US-Iran tensions pushed Brent up about 6% for the week, and Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears lifted energy stocks such as Chevron and Exxon Mobil.
Oil & Gas
Long
Aug 09
$172.01
+4.7%
Palantir growth, moat, cheap valuation buy now.
Palantir reported strong Q2 2026 results: 93% revenue growth, US commercial up 149%, Rule of 40 hit 155, and large deals over $10M jumped 55%. The company's ontology and AIP platform create a deep moat as enterprises move AI into real decision-making. The sovereign AI trend, with Nvidia, further strengthens its position. Despite the stock falling from $207 to $106 earlier on valuation fear, valuation compressed to 91x forward P/E while growth accelerated and uncertainty fell, making current levels an attractive entry point.
AI Software
Long
Jul 25
$309.24
+23.9%
US refiners benefit from elevated crack spreads
The 321 crack spread has surged to new highs due to geopolitical disruptions (Ukraine drone attacks on Russian refineries, Middle East supply issues) and strong seasonal demand shifting to US refiners. US gasoline inventories are at 5-year lows and diesel margins are spiking. Valero (VLO) has higher sensitivity to refining margins (89% of EBIT from refining), making it a leveraged play on elevated crack spreads. Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has a more balanced mix with midstream (53% of EBIT), offering downside protection if margins turn. Both benefit from the current environment, but Valero offers stronger upside while Marathon is a more defensive alternative.
Oil & Gas
Long
Jul 25
$302.50
+19.5%
US refiners benefit from elevated crack spreads
The 321 crack spread has surged to new highs due to geopolitical disruptions (Ukraine drone attacks on Russian refineries, Middle East supply issues) and strong seasonal demand shifting to US refiners. US gasoline inventories are at 5-year lows and diesel margins are spiking. Valero (VLO) has higher sensitivity to refining margins (89% of EBIT from refining), making it a leveraged play on elevated crack spreads. Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has a more balanced mix with midstream (53% of EBIT), offering downside protection if margins turn. Both benefit from the current environment, but Valero offers stronger upside while Marathon is a more defensive alternative.
Oil & Gas
Long
Jul 18
$203.08
+5.6%
Cybersecurity growth leader with strong subscription model
Cybersecurity spending is a top IT budget priority as enterprises reallocate funds from legacy software to security and AI, confirmed by IBM's CEO comments. CrowdStrike leads in endpoint security with a 95% subscription revenue model, strong data network effects, 26% revenue growth, and expanding margins. Its CANSLIM score of 66 outpaces Palo Alto (61.2), and on an EV/Sales-to-growth basis it is about 23% cheaper despite a higher headline multiple. The thesis is to accumulate CrowdStrike on pullbacks as it builds a unified security platform.
Cybersecurity
Showing 15 of 25 calls · sorted by mentions

Clare Pleydell-Bouverie has 25 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 25 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 48% across 25 evaluated calls, average return +0.2%. Ranked #785 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: LITE, MRNA, SMCI.