Dollar weakens on cyclical and geopolitical drivers
The dollar should weaken for both cyclical reasons (global economic rally normally pushes the dollar down) and structural reasons (Trump's pressure on allies discourages Treasury holdings, China creating alternative currency regions). Sterling and euro are holding up well, suggesting other currencies want to appreciate.
Railroads are an attractive sector because the industrial cycle is returning, which will boost volumes and make them a good way to play cyclical strength.
Investors should remain overweight equities and adopt a barbell strategy. The market structure has changed due to algorithmic trading and retail participation, making deep 'retests' after selloffs less likely. The optimal approach is to hold both technology stocks for growth and cyclical stocks to capture the broadening global recovery.