Total picks
42
5 L / 4 S
Win-rate
54%
48W / 40L of 88
Avg return
-0.3%
L —
S —
Best
—
avg evaluated
Worst
—
avg evaluated
Long / short
5 / 4
56.0% long bias
Ticker
Side
Conv.
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Date ↓
×N
Src
SHORT
MED
Energy
$144.55
—
Short USO based on belief that current oil price support is temporary and will inevitably decline to $60.
May 02
×3
LONG
MED
Macro
—
—
Historical intervention patterns suggest USDJPY has further upside; skew from repeated intervention supports continued rally in the pair.
Apr 30
×1
SHORT
MED
Energy
$146.43
—
Short oil via USO on a technical slingshot reversal pattern and contrarian media cover indicating a potential top in crude.
Apr 30
×3
NEUTRAL
MED
Macro
$27.68
—
The US Dollar's long-term dominance is being undermined by expanding fiscal deficits and the perception that US Treasuries are no longer a true safe haven.
Mar 20
×1
SHORT
MED
AI/Semi
$714.14
—
The author expects SNDK to be "super bearish" if it breaks below the 700 level, which represents a technical breakdown, compounded by macro headwinds from tightening financial conditions.
Mar 20
×1
LONG
HIGH
Energy
$106.95
—
The current price is an attractive entry point for a long position in crude oil, with a defined target range of $83-92 and a clear invalidation level below $75.
Mar 10
×1
NEUTRAL
—
Macro
—
—
No it’s more that dollar has already rallied and most important economic data point of the month was mega weak.
Four yards of usd is significant though. Most volume is noise trading so billions in one direction moves the market especially after a big move the other way has just happened
Mar 08
×1
WATCH
—
Macro
—
—
Small correction lower after large dollar rally — on weak US payrolls and BHP dividend day (a day when yards of dollars being sold without regard to price) — is hardly a meaningful regime change imo
Dollar higher on the week —why look at single day return on the day of a weak jobs report ?
Mar 07
×1
WATCH
MED
Macro
$27.47
—
The author believes the recent US Dollar weakness is a temporary correction caused by transient factors (payrolls, dividend flows) and that the broader uptrend will resume.
Mar 07
×1
NEUTRAL
—
Other
$71.85
—
@robin_j_brooks Small correction after large dollar rally — on BHP dividend (a day when yards of dollars being sold without regard to price) — is hardly a meaningful regime change imo
Dollar higher on the week why look at single day return
Mar 07
×1
NEUTRAL
MED
Energy
$108.77
—
The market will ignore the preceding news/event, leading to a drop in oil prices.
Mar 06
×2
WATCH
MED
Macro
$672.38
—
The market will ignore the preceding news/event, leading to a rally in equities.
Mar 06
×1
WATCH
—
Energy
—
—
@tonitrades_ The study started in 1997 and has been working out of sample for 10 years. Some of the best calls have been oil.
Drowning in oil the most famous at the exact low https://t.co/S1gmyrV2nl
Mar 06
×1
Showing 15 of 42 picks