Supply indigestion creates corporate bond opportunities.
Heavy bond supply is causing short-term indigestion, especially in investment-grade corporate bonds, but supply is a 1-3 month technical factor rather than a long-term fundamental problem. That can create selective opportunities in corporate credit when yields spike.
Near-term inflation risks and volatile long bonds mean investors are not well-paid enough to take long-duration interest-rate risk. Standard Chartered prefers keeping bond duration short because the short end is more attractive and carries much less volatility.
Rising long-term bond yields are a headwind for long-duration equities, but strong earnings tailwinds, particularly in technology and financials, can help equity markets weather higher yields. Volatility may be higher, but the reward is still seen as better in equities than in bonds.
Rising long-term bond yields are a headwind for long-duration equities, but strong earnings tailwinds, particularly in technology and financials, can help equity markets weather higher yields. Volatility may be higher, but the reward is still seen as better in equities than in bonds.