Beacon Global Strategies Managing Director

Guest Analyst (Former Special Assistant to George W. Bush)

@michaelallenJMA · tracked since Feb 2026

Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day

Calls

7d 0

30d 0

90d 0

Best Calls

WTI long +85.1%

Worst Calls

ITA long -4.2%

Most Mentioned

ITA ×1

BNO ×1

Recent Calls

WTI long 3 months ago

ITA long 3 months ago

Win Rate 50% Long 2 Short 0

Win Rate

7d 100%

30d 50%

90d 50%

Average Return +40.4% Long Return +40.4% Short Return -

Average Return

7d +4.4%

30d +25.0%

90d +43.5%

Ticker

Side

Mentions

Opened

Entry

P&L

Thesis

Theme

Source

ITA iShares ... iShares U.S. Aerosp...

Long

Feb 14

$234.87

-4.2%

The analyst states regarding a strike on Iran: "I think we will do it again... President has already said that he is painted into a corner... I think he will hit... ballistic missile sites." A kinetic strike on Iran, specifically targeting missile sites, guarantees a geopolitical risk premium. This benefits defense contractors (replacing munitions) and drives oil prices higher due to Strait of Hormuz fears. LONG. War positioning is required given the "locked and loaded" rhetoric. Diplomatic de-escalation or the administration bluffing to force a deal.

The analyst states regarding a strike on Iran: "I think we will do it again... President has already said that he is painted into a corner... I think he will hit... ballistic missile sites." A kinetic strike on Iran, specifically targeting missile sites, guarantees a geopolitical risk premium. This benefits defense contractors (replacing munitions) and drives oil prices higher due to Strait of Hormuz fears. LONG. War positioning is required given the "locked and loaded" rhetoric. Diplomatic de-escalation or the administration bluffing to force a deal.

NatSec

YOUTUBE

WTI West Tex... West Texas Intermed...

Long

Feb 14

$76.22

+85.1%

The analyst states regarding a strike on Iran: "I think we will do it again... President has already said that he is painted into a corner... I think he will hit... ballistic missile sites." A kinetic strike on Iran, specifically targeting missile sites, guarantees a geopolitical risk premium. This benefits defense contractors (replacing munitions) and drives oil prices higher due to Strait of Hormuz fears. LONG. War positioning is required given the "locked and loaded" rhetoric. Diplomatic de-escalation or the administration bluffing to force a deal.

The analyst states regarding a strike on Iran: "I think we will do it again... President has already said that he is painted into a corner... I think he will hit... ballistic missile sites." A kinetic strike on Iran, specifically targeting missile sites, guarantees a geopolitical risk premium. This benefits defense contractors (replacing munitions) and drives oil prices higher due to Strait of Hormuz fears. LONG. War positioning is required given the "locked and loaded" rhetoric. Diplomatic de-escalation or the administration bluffing to force a deal.

Energy

YOUTUBE

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