Alaric Nightingale 2.4 3 ideas

Energy/Oil Reporter, Bloomberg
After 1 day
N/A
3/15 min ideas
After 1 week
N/A
3/15 min ideas
After 1 month
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3/15 min ideas
3 winning  /  0 losing  ·  3 positions (30d)
Net: +13.1%
By sector
ETF
3 ideas +13.1%
Top tickers (by frequency)
XLE 1 ideas
100% W +5.5%
USO 1 ideas
100% W +27.7%
VDE 1 ideas
100% W +6.0%
Best and worst calls
The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed due to the war with Iran. Tankers are piling up, and 1/5th of the world's oil supply is blocked. WTI is near $89, Brent over $90. This is a physical supply shock, not just speculation. With no immediate "offramp" to the conflict and the White House admitting the timeline is murky, the risk premium in energy must re-rate higher. Supply constraints directly equate to higher spot prices for crude and energy producers. LONG oil futures proxies and energy sector producers. A sudden ceasefire or US military intervention that quickly reopens shipping lanes would cause a massive price collapse.
USO XLE VDE Bloomberg Markets Mar 06, 18:02
Energy/Oil Reporter, Bloomberg
Alaric Nightingale (Energy/Oil Reporter, Bloomberg) | 3 trade ideas tracked | XLE, USO, VDE | YouTube | Buzzberg