The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed due to the war with Iran. Tankers are piling up, and 1/5th of the world's oil supply is blocked. WTI is near $89, Brent over $90. This is a physical supply shock, not just speculation. With no immediate "offramp" to the conflict and the White House admitting the timeline is murky, the risk premium in energy must re-rate higher. Supply constraints directly equate to higher spot prices for crude and energy producers. LONG oil futures proxies and energy sector producers. A sudden ceasefire or US military intervention that quickly reopens shipping lanes would cause a massive price collapse.