abcampbell 5.0 95 ideas
After 1 day
59%winrate
+0.8% avg
39W / 27L · 66/85 ideas
After 1 week
58%winrate
+0.7% avg
36W / 26L · 62/85 ideas
After 1 month
44%winrate
-0.6% avg
26W / 33L · 59/85 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
ETF
61 ideas
-0.3%
Commodity
19 ideas
-2.7%
Stock
8 ideas
+1.7%
index
4 ideas
+1.0%
Crypto
1 ideas
-3.0%
currency
1 ideas
-2.5%
sector
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SILVER
9 ideas
14% W
-6.9%
GLD
8 ideas
0% W
-8.7%
SPY
7 ideas
100% W
+3.6%
USO
6 ideas
—
—
GOLD
5 ideas
33% W
-4.9%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
WTI LONG
+27.7%
Professor Campbell (@abcampbell) replying to @buzz_lighter_
@buzz_lighter_ Just a scramble for liquidity.
Apparently fo...
Mar 06
SOXX LONG
+20.0%
1. THE FACT: Billions are being invested in duplicating EUV lithography.
2. THE BRIDGE: Such massive investment in advan...
Dec 17
PLTR LONG
+19.6%
A prominent bear's thesis on the company is flawed because it misunderstands the foundational role of data consolidation...
Feb 19
Worst calls
SILVER LONG
-17.8%
1. THE FACT: "As I’ve said repeatedly, the first leg of the silver trade will be due to solar + spec flows. The second i...
Jan 20
SKYY LONG
-14.0%
1. THE FACT: The user states, "not sure people really understand what “MOAR compute” means. not just GPUs! we need a lot...
Jan 07
KRE SHORT
-13.5%
1. THE FACT: @abcampbell describes a scenario where "Losses escalate while profitability collapses. Deleveraging pressur...
Nov 18
Avoid shorting oil because the physical market has tightened significantly due to the unprecedented closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a major geopolitical supply shock.
USO
HIGH
Apr 12, 22:42
The author is taking a long volatility position by purchasing VIX call options, anticipating an increase in market volatility.
VIX
HIGH
Apr 09, 23:29
Author advocates a permanent long position in gold, likely as a hedge or store of value, implying it should always be held in a portfolio.
GLD
HIGH
Apr 09, 03:08
The oil market is over-optimistically pricing a geopolitical resolution while ignoring the lack of actual supply recovery (zero tankers through Hormuz), creating a short opportunity.
USO
HIGH
Apr 09, 01:42
The tweet suggests investors should increase their allocation to gold, implying it is undervalued or poised for a price increase as a hedge or safe haven asset.
GLD
Apr 07, 15:52
Long agricultural commodities (via calls) as a relative value trade against being short UK short-term rates, likely expressing a view on commodity strength and/or UK rate policy.
DBA
HIGH
Apr 05, 02:11
The tweet suggests a deliberate devaluation or attack on the US dollar, which would negatively impact its global reserve currency status and purchasing power.
UUP
Apr 03, 15:33
Long oil (USO) on the geopolitical risk that Houthi attacks on tankers in a critical chokepoint will cause a severe supply disruption and drive prices sharply higher.
USO
HIGH
Mar 29, 03:34
The author implies that equities are vulnerable to a significant repricing lower as the market begins to properly discount their duration risk, similar to bonds in a rising rate or credit-risk environment.
SPY
MED
Mar 20, 15:35
The author argues that geopolitical crises reinforce the US dollar's safe-haven status, invalidating the de-dollarization narrative that has been a tailwind for gold.
GLD
HIGH
Mar 19, 16:03
Solar is not a viable investment at present but will become attractive once macro headwinds like high oil prices and a strong dollar peak.
TAN
MED
Mar 19, 13:26
The author expects silver to sell off in the near term due to its characteristics as levered gold with sensitivity to growth.
SLV
MED
Mar 19, 13:26
The author is bearish on gold, citing a rising dollar, its correlation to risk assets, and potential selling from the Middle East as negative catalysts.
GLD
MED
Mar 18, 18:27
The author posits that oil's implied volatility (96 vol) is pricing in an excessive daily move (6%), and if realized volatility is lower, selling volatility will be a profitable strategy.
USO
HIGH
Mar 18, 12:08
The author expects the current market rally to be a bull trap, culminating in a significant sell-off ("puke") after a specific indicator flips.
SPY
HIGH
Mar 18, 01:04