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Feb 18
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
PEJ: Modest Upside With Meaningful Constraint...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
International Stocks Are Outperforming. Inves...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Joel Greenblatt's Strategic Moves: A Closer L...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub - SPY
Don’t Miss These 4 Standout 52-Week Highs and...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub - SPY
Housing Data (for December) Better than Expec...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub - SPY
Stocks Climb on Solid US Economic News and Ea...
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Feb 18
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SHORT
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@LizAnnSonders
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U.S. large caps saw the largest outflow last week, while other equity segments saw net inflows. This suggests a rotation out of US large-cap stocks. |
@LizAnnSonders
Global equity ETFs dominated last week with &...
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Feb 18
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$686.29
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LONG
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Benzinga
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The Redbook Retail Sales Index reported a strong 6.8% year-over-year growth, pointing to robust consumer activity. Consumer spending is a critical driver of U.S. GDP and corporate profits. This sign of economic health supports the earnings outlook for the broad array of companies in the S&P 500, making its corresponding ETF (SPY) attractive. The strong retail sales data reinforces the narrative of a resilient economy, justifying a long position in SPY to capitalize on continued economic expansion and positive corporate performance. This is a single data point with no context (e.g., vs. expectations). The market may have already priced in a strong consumer. More importantly, strong economic data could be interpreted negatively if it raises inflation fears and leads to a more hawkish outlook for Federal Reserve policy, which would be a headwind for stocks. |
Finnhub - SPY
Redbook Retail Sales Index For February 2026 ...
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Feb 18
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WATCH
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Benzinga
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The article reports that USA Building Permits for December came in at +4.3% month-over-month, significantly beating the -0.2% estimate. This data presents a conflicting signal for the S&P 500. On one hand, it points to a robust economy, which is bullish for corporate earnings. On the other hand, it may force the Federal Reserve to be more hawkish on interest rates, which is bearish for stock valuations. The market's direction will depend on whether it prioritizes economic strength or fears higher interest rates. This uncertainty makes a directional bet on the SPY risky based on this single data point. It is more prudent to watch how price action develops and how bond yields react before committing capital. The market could ignore the interest rate implications and rally strongly on the growth signal. Conversely, rate fears could overwhelm the positive economic news, leading to a sharp sell-off. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Building Permits (MoM) For Dec 4.3% Vs -0...
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Feb 18
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WATCH
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Benzinga
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Housing Starts data was much stronger than forecast. This creates a classic "good news is bad news?" dilemma for the broader market. Strong economic growth is bullish for corporate earnings, but it also raises concerns about inflation and a more hawkish Federal Reserve, which is bearish for equity valuations. The net impact on the SPY is uncertain and depends on which narrative the market prioritizes. It is prudent to watch the market's initial reaction to gauge sentiment before committing to a directional trade. A move higher would suggest a focus on growth, while a move lower would indicate a focus on interest rates. The market's reaction could be muted if the data was already anticipated by some market participants or if it is overshadowed by other news events. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Housing Starts For Dec. 1.404M Vs 1.310M ...
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Feb 18
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$686.29
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WATCH
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Benzinga
|
The article reports a stronger-than-expected building permits number. This single data point sends a mixed signal for the broader market (SPY). It suggests economic strength (bullish for earnings) but also potential for a more hawkish Federal Reserve to combat inflation (bearish for valuations). The market's net reaction is therefore uncertain. The conflicting implications make a directional bet on SPY based solely on this news highly speculative. It is more prudent to watch the market's initial reaction and see whether the "soft landing" or the "higher rates" narrative dominates before committing capital. The market may have a strong and immediate reaction in either direction. By waiting, a trader risks missing the initial move, but avoids taking a position based on an ambiguous signal. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Building Permits For Dec. 1.448M Vs 1.400...
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Feb 18
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NEUTRAL
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Benzinga
|
The USA Durable Goods Orders for December were revised slightly higher to 5.4% from a prior 5.3%. This is a minor revision to a stale, two-month-old economic data point. While a stronger economy is technically a positive, the information is neither new nor significant enough to alter the market's current trajectory or outlook. The data point is effectively market noise and does not provide a compelling catalyst to initiate a new long or short position in the S&P 500. The market will be focused on more timely data releases and events. This neutral stance could be wrong if this minor revision is part of a broader trend of upward economic data revisions that collectively cause a shift in Federal Reserve policy expectations. More significant economic data or geopolitical events are the primary risks to any market position. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Durable Goods Orders (MoM) For Dec. Revis...
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Feb 18
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WATCH
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Benzinga
|
Core Durable Goods Orders for December came in at 0.9%, triple the 0.3% estimate. This strong economic data creates a conflict for equity markets. While it signals a healthy economy (bullish for earnings), it also gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain a restrictive monetary policy (bearish for valuations). This uncertainty can lead to volatility without a clear initial direction. The opposing forces of a strong economy versus a potentially more hawkish Fed make the immediate direction for the S&P 500 unclear. It is prudent to watch how the market digests this news. A sustained move above pre-release highs would signal a focus on economic strength, while a break below recent support would indicate that interest rate fears are dominating. The market may have a one-sided reaction, choosing to focus solely on the positive economic growth aspect and ignoring the monetary policy implications, leading to a sharp rally. Conversely, a sharp sell-off could occur if inflation fears resurface. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) For Dec. ...
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Feb 18
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LONG
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Benzinga
|
USA Durable Goods Orders for December fell 1.4% month-over-month, which was a smaller decline than the -1.8% that was estimated. The market often reacts more to the "surprise" in economic data than the absolute number. A better-than-expected report, even if negative, suggests the economy is more resilient than anticipated. This can boost investor sentiment and reduce fears of a hard landing, creating a positive catalyst for the broad market. The positive surprise in this forward-looking economic indicator is likely to be viewed as a bullish signal in the short term, supporting a potential move higher in the S&P 500. The market could focus on the negative headline number (-1.4%), which still indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity. The positive surprise may have already been priced in, or the market's focus could quickly shift to other data points or geopolitical events. |
Finnhub - SPY
USA Durable Goods Orders (MoM) For December -...
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Feb 18
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N/A
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Hassett Says 'We Think There's Plenty Of Room...
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Feb 18
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Court Fines DTE Energy $100 Million Over EES ...
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Feb 17
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$682.85
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
ETY: Discount Remains Narrow For This Monthly...
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Feb 17
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LONG
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CME Group Presenter
Host/Narrator
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"January's results point to stabilization rather than ongoing major drag from the prior shutdown." The bear case relied on the "lagged effects" of the government shutdown and 2025 data revisions causing a recession. The speaker confirms the labor market is resilient (Unemployment down to 4.3%, Participation up). Stabilization supports broad equity valuations. Risk-on for the broader market as recession fears recede. Inflation re-accelerating due to a tight labor market. |
Bloomberg Markets
AI Job Freeze? January Data Says No | Present...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub - SPY
The Dumbest Tax Ever Made: Why Europe's War O...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub - SPY
U.S. Vice President Vance: I Worry About Comp...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub - SPY
San Francisco Fed President Daly Says We Have...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
San Francisco Fed President Daly Says Product...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Daly Says Worker Anxiety Is High, But T...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
San Francisco Fed President Daly Says Product...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
S.F. Fed President Daly Said Inflation Is Abo...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Paul Krugman Says Trump's Pick Kevin Warsh Is...
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Feb 17
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$682.85
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Daly Says Fed Must Dig Deep On AI Impac...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Zelensky says Ukrainian public won't let him...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Private Software Companies Release Earnings ...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says Low Hire, Low Fire Job Market...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Donald Trump escalates assault on US consume...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says Fed Can Afford To Take Its Ti...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Port of LA Imports Slump as Trump Tariffs Di...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says It Will Be Hard For Fed To Kn...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says Base Case Is That AI Is Doing...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says Some Of Strong Productivity O...
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Feb 17
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$682.85
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LONG
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Kamakshya Trivedi
Head of Global FX and Interest Rates, Goldman Sachs
|
Trivedi states, "We do have a stronger growth outlook... despite that stronger growth outlook we expect inflation to remain benign." He cites waning tariff impacts and softer wage growth. This combination (Growth + Disinflation) is the definition of a "Goldilocks" scenario. Markets often fear strong growth leads to rate hikes, but GS argues inflation is structuraly contained (AI/China export deflation), allowing the Fed to cut rates twice in H2. LONG US Equities as the macro backdrop supports valuation expansion. Unexpected inflation spikes from supply chain shocks. |
Bloomberg Markets
India Seeks Role in AI Future As Modi Hosts F...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says AI Boom Unlikely To Lead To L...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Barr Says Prudent For Fed To Take Time,...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Mamdani Plans to Hike NYC Property Tax to Fi...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright Says We Wi...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Iranians Said They Would Come Back In The Nex...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
CB Employment Trends Index For January 105.6 ...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
NAHB Housing Market Index For February 36 Vs ...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Iran's Foreign Minister Says Explicit Referen...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Goolsbee Says Want Some Evidence That I...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
'Eric Trump Invests In 'Low Cost-Per-Kill' Dr...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Fed's Goolsbee Says Recent Headline Inflation...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
Iran's Foreign Minister Says We've Reached An...
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Feb 17
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Finnhub News
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Finnhub - SPY
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index For Feb. ...
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