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Trade Ideas (29)
Date Ticker Price Dir Speaker Thesis Source
Feb 18 $185.86
$185.86 +0.0%
LONG Michelle McGinness
CEO of My Cargo 247
"The larger freight companies have traditional insurance that is great for contracts... a $200,000 loss for a large carrier might be a blip on their balance sheet but it can put out of business a small shipper." The surge in cargo theft creates a "survival of the fittest" environment. Small, underinsured carriers in the spot market face existential risk from a single theft event. This structural fragility favors large, capitalized logistics providers (UPS, FedEx, C.H. Robinson) who possess robust insurance programs and balance sheet depth. Shippers seeking reliability will likely consolidate volume toward these safer incumbents. LONG (Flight to Safety/Consolidation). A broad recession reducing overall freight volumes; "Strategic theft" (identity fraud) evolving to bypass even sophisticated carrier defenses. CNBC
How small businesses are insuring their cargo...
Feb 18 $185.86
$185.86 +0.0%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
C.H. Robinson is the disruptor, 'not the disr...
Feb 17 $177.38
$185.86 +4.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
AI Broke the Trucks: 3 Transports to Buy Afte...
Feb 17 $177.38
$185.86 +4.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
IYT: The Undervalued U.S. Transportation Indu...
Feb 17 $177.38
$185.86 +4.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
What's Going On With Algorhythm Stock Tuesday...
Feb 16 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
C.H. Robinson: The AI Scare Is An Overreactio...
Feb 16 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Valuation Check After AI...
Feb 15 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
SHORT Finnhub News Wall Street is concerned about the negative impact of AI, leading to a stock sell-off due to disruption fears. Finnhub - CHRW
'The dark side of AI': Wall Street weighs rec...
Feb 15 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
LONG Finnhub News The headline questions if C.H. Robinson is leveraging AI disruption fears to gain a competitive advantage and enhance capital returns. Finnhub - CHRW
Is C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Turning AI Disruption...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Logistics stock selloff Thursday brings assur...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
How a Former Karaoke Company Slammed Freight ...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Jobs: The Economy's Achilles Heel
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
WATCH Michael Batnick
Managing Partner, Ritholtz Wealth Management
Logistics stocks like C.H. Robinson and J.B. Hunt lost billions in market cap because a penny stock (Algorithm Holdings/Karaoke company) announced an "AI freight product." The market is reacting to "tape bombs" and headlines from non-credible sources. If established logistics giants are selling off due to a penny stock press release, the selling is irrational and likely to mean-revert once the "threat" is debunked. Potential recovery play as the market realizes the "disruption" threat was noise. The freight recession continues; genuine AI disruption eventually emerges from credible competitors. The Compound News
The Baddest Hedge Fund in the World | TCAF 22...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
C.H. Robinson pushes back on AI disruption fe...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
LONG Finnhub News The headline reports a sudden surge in Algorhythm stock and questions the reasons behind it. Finnhub - CHRW
Algorhythm Stock Is Popping: What's Going On?
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
AI Fears Are Spooking Stocks. Why It’s an Ove...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
SHORT Guy Johnson
Anchor, Bloomberg
A small AI company ("Algorithm Holdings") disrupted the sector, causing a "scare trade" where logistics stocks fell ~7%. The market is in a "manic" phase, pricing in the obsolescence of labor-intensive business models (logistics, trucking) due to AI efficiency. Investors are dumping "human-heavy" cost structures. SHORT / AVOID. Sentiment is currently "Category 5 paranoia" regarding AI displacement in logistics. The sell-off is an overreaction to a single news story (the "karaoke company" pivot), leading to a sharp mean reversion bounce. Bloomberg Markets
L'Oreal Falls, Kongsberg Sees Air Defense Sys...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
SHORT Sheldon McLeod
Market Strategist
The "AI Scare Trade" has spread beyond tech into Logistics and Commercial Real Estate. The speaker notes that logistics firms rely on pricing inefficiencies and human error for margins. AI eliminates these inefficiencies. If logistics clients use AI to optimize truckloads and routes, they will no longer pay for the "inefficiencies" that previously padded the margins of logistics giants. Similarly, AI reduces the need for office labor, crushing demand for commercial space. SHORT. The market is repricing these sectors as "AI Losers" due to permanent deflationary pressure on their pricing power. The selloff may be an overreaction/panic selling before actual earnings erosion occurs. Bloomberg Markets
AI Angst Rocks Asia Markets | The Asia Trade ...
Feb 13 $176.01
$185.86 +5.6%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Meet the Former Karaoke Company That Sank Tru...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
SHORT Tim Sandvik
Anchor, Bloomberg
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) is down ~14% and the "scare trade continues to make its way through different sectors... software this week, financials... logistic companies apparently are going to lose out to AI." The market is currently pricing in a "terminal value risk" for industries viewed as displaceable by AI agents. Investors are selling first and asking questions later. This momentum suggests continued downside for legacy logistics brokers and "system of record" software companies perceived as vulnerable to AI automation. SHORT (Sentiment/Thematic Rotation). Market realizes the AI displacement threat is overblown/too distant. Bloomberg Markets
Software Selloff Deepens on AI Fears | Closin...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Stock Market Today, Feb. 12: AI Fears Slam Ma...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Freight Brokers Are the Latest AI Victims. Th...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
Logistics Are Getting Hammered. It's a 'Shoot...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
SHORT @zerohedge *CH ROBINSON PLUNGE IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY, SAYS BARCLAYS Ok Barclays, let's see the 13D @zerohedge
*CH ROBINSON PLUNGE IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY, SA...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
AI Panic Hits Trucking, Transport Stocks
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
C.H. Robinson stock tumbles amid freight sect...
Feb 12 $167.78
$185.86 +10.8%
N/A Finnhub News Finnhub - CHRW
12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Thursday's In...
Feb 11 $196.33
$185.86 -5.3%
LONG Ben Carlson
Director of Institutional Asset Management, Ritholtz Wealth Management
C.H. Robinson is a logistics company using AI to match drivers with trucks more efficiently. The stock chart has gone "parabolic." Unlike companies just talking about AI, CHRW is demonstrating actual "AI-driven economic gains." It is a real-world beneficiary of the productivity boom. Long momentum in companies proving AI ROI. Cyclical downturn in shipping/logistics. The Compound News
What Would You Do With $3 Million? | Animal S...
Feb 09 $200.31
$185.86 -7.2%
LONG The reporter identifies UPS, FedEx, and C.H. Robinson as leaders in reverse logistics, alongside warehousing REITs Prologis and Terreno Realty, as the best way to play the surge in returns. Handling returns is more complex than standard shipping. Because it is a "specialized" service, logistics companies can charge a premium, resulting in better profit margins compared to commoditized delivery. Furthermore, the demand for this service is structural and growing due to "bracketing"—where shoppers intentionally buy more than they need (e.g., multiple sizes) with the intent to return, a habit deeply ingrained in Gen Z and Millennial consumers. Holiday returns are up 11% YoY. Returns generate significantly more revenue per unit ($30 cost to retailer vs. $12 for delivery). 50% of consumers now engage in bracketing. Retailers may tighten return policies to reduce costs, potentially lowering volume for logistics providers. CNBC
Holiday returns surge 11%: Reverse logistics ...