| Ticker | Direction | Speaker | Thesis | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHORT |
Tim Sandvik
Anchor, Bloomberg |
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) is down ~14% and the "scare trade continues to make its way through different sectors... software this week, financials... logistic companies apparently are going to lose out to AI." The market is currently pricing in a "terminal value risk" for industries viewed as displaceable by AI agents. Investors are selling first and asking questions later. This momentum suggests continued downside for legacy logistics brokers and "system of record" software companies perceived as vulnerable to AI automation. SHORT (Sentiment/Thematic Rotation). Market realizes the AI displacement threat is overblown/too distant. | 2:24 | |
| SHORT |
Bailey Lipschultz
Reporter, Bloomberg |
Pinterest missed Q4 EBITDA estimates ($541M vs $550M) and provided weak Q1 EBITDA guidance ($166-186M vs est $205M). Stock down >10%. In a high-rate environment, the market has zero tolerance for unprofitability or margin compression. A guidance miss of this magnitude in the ad-tech space, especially when contrasted with other winners, suggests structural issues or market share loss. SHORT (Guidance Miss). Potential acquisition target or oversold bounce. | — | |
| LONG |
Katie Greifeld
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Rivian revenue beat estimates ($1.29B vs $1.2B range). Despite mixed delivery guidance, the stock surged ~10% in after-hours. The market reaction indicates that expectations were incredibly low. The revenue beat and the focus on future vehicle platforms (R2) provided enough optimism to trigger a relief rally/short squeeze in a beaten-down name. LONG (Relief Rally/Earnings Reaction). Cash burn rates and production ramp execution risks. | — | |
| LONG |
Katie Greifeld
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Instacart (CART) beat on Gross Transaction Value and Orders. Crucially, the Q1 Adjusted EBITDA forecast beat estimates. Shares up ~7%. Unlike Pinterest, Instacart demonstrated operational efficiency and pricing power by beating profit guidance. This signals resilience in the consumer delivery space despite inflation. LONG (Earnings Beat). Consumer spending slowdown. | — | |
| LONG |
Bailey Lipschultz
Reporter, Bloomberg |
"Investors... finding some comfort when it comes to the U.S. bond market... Treasuries act as a hedge here." With equities (S&P 500/Nasdaq), Crypto, and Gold all selling off simultaneously, Treasuries are re-emerging as the sole "flight to safety" asset class. As volatility increases in risk assets, capital will rotate into government bonds. LONG (Hedge/Safety Trade). Re-acceleration of inflation data. | — | |
| AVOID |
Katie Greifeld
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Airbnb beat revenue outlook for Q1, but costs/expenses in Q4 came in higher than expected ($2.51B vs $2.36B). Shares down ~5%. Even with a revenue beat, the market is punishing expense bloat. The inability to control costs overshadows top-line growth, leading to margin concerns. AVOID (Margin Compression). Successful cost-cutting measures in future quarters. | 5:53 | |
| LONG |
Tim Sandvik
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Roku beat Q4 estimates and provided strong 2026 guidance (Revenue $5.5B vs est $5.34B; EBITDA $635M vs est). Shares up ~7.3%. The market is rewarding companies that can demonstrate long-term growth visibility (2026 outlook) amidst near-term macro uncertainty. The beat on both top and bottom lines signals advertising demand stabilization for streaming platforms. LONG (Earnings Beat/Guidance). Slowdown in the broader digital ad market. | 3:51 | |
| SHORT |
Carol Massar
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Coinbase missed estimates on Transaction Revenue ($983M vs $1.02B) and Subscription Revenue. The stock is down in after-hours, compounding a year-to-date decline. The "miss across the board" on revenue drivers, combined with Bitcoin failing to hold $70k, creates a negative feedback loop. Without the hype of rising crypto prices, Coinbase's core transaction business is underperforming expectations. SHORT (Earnings Miss/Sector Weakness). A sudden resurgence in Bitcoin price driving retail volume. | 7:35 | |
| LONG |
Carol Massar
Anchor, Bloomberg |
Applied Materials reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.38 (beating est. $2.21) and net sales of $7.01B (beating est. $6.86B). The stock surged ~8-10% in after-hours. The anchor notes that "everybody who's anybody in the semi space are customers." While software and logistics are being sold off on AI fears, the hardware infrastructure layer (semiconductor equipment) remains the primary beneficiary of capex spending. AMAT is the index proxy for this hardware demand. LONG (Momentum/Fundamental Beat). Cyclical downturn in semiconductor capex outside of AI. | 4:40 |