Defying Reality

Bob Elliott · Nonconsensus · 05 августа 2026, 10:26  | Читать в Substack ↗
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The available excerpt argues that renewed downward pressure in oil markets — driven largely by hopes for a swift Iran deal — is feeding a broader equity-market rally. Lower oil is being treated as a disinflationary and geopolitical tailwind for risk assets, with energy/oil markets absorbing the negative side of the trade.
  • Oil markets have seen renewed downward pressure over the past couple of days.
  • That oil weakness has directly 'contributed to the euphoria seen across equity markets.'
  • Much of the equity optimism is explicitly tied to hopes that an Iran deal is reached quickly.
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