Daily Discussion Thread for August 27, 2026

u/verified-trader · Reddit — r/wallstreetbets · 27 августа 2026, 10:00 · ⬆ 27 очк. · 💬 232 комментариев | Открыть на Reddit ↗

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=== SUMMARY === - Macro and political chaos dominates the thread, with heavy discussion around the President renaming Lake Ontario to "Lake America", soaring bond yields, and escalating tensions with Iran. - Semiconductor stocks are showing divergence; while NVDA had strong earnings, peers like MU and SNDK are inexplicably dropping, causing widespread frustration. - The community is highly skeptical of upcoming earnings reactions and general market stability, with many anticipating mid-term dumps or fading rallies. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === MRVL - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MRVL is approaching its earnings report with high expectations for record numbers. 2. THE BRIDGE: The current market environment is heavily punishing tech/semi stocks even on good news (as seen with MU/SNDK post-NVDA). 3. THE VERDICT: The community expects a classic "sell the news" event where the stock tanks in the afternoon despite a strong earnings beat. 4. RISKS: If forward guidance is exceptionally strong, it could break the current trend of fading tech earnings. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings expected to show record numbers. - High probability of a "sell the news" drop. - Broader semi sector is showing weakness. MU - AVOID | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MU and SNDK are dropping significantly (down ~3%) despite NVDA reporting insane numbers and supply constraints. 2. THE BRIDGE: The expected sympathy rally for memory/storage demand completely failed to materialize, indicating severe underlying weakness or institutional selling. 3. THE VERDICT: Avoid going long on MU right now, as the price action is completely decoupled from bullish sector fundamentals. 4. RISKS: One user noted that retail capitulation ("I am out of MU") often serves as a bottom signal. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Dropping despite strong NVDA earn

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA/AI is the dominant theme: Jensen Huang’s “inflection point/profitable” headline, “NVDA 240 EOD please!”, “NVDA will save americuh,” and sarcastic questions to NVDA shorts all point to strong bullish momentum. - Some caution exists around AI FOMO: one upvoted comment flags the “is it too late to buy” crowd for NVDA, MU, NBIS, BE; another fears a premarket pump/dump at the open. - No earnings discussed. One trader took a $10K loss on dead puts, reinforcing “stocks only go up” sentiment; oil was called “bipolar” but with no clear directional consensus. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple upvoted comments back NVDA: Jensen Huang’s AI “inflection point/profitable” comments, “NVDA 240 EOD please!”, “NVDA will save americuh,” and “how is your nvda short doing?” 2. THE BRIDGE: The thread shows crowded long bias and open mocking of NVDA shorts, which can fuel momentum and short-covering pressure. 3. THE VERDICT: Trade NVDA from the long side with a near-term target around $240; fading NVDA is not supported by community sentiment. 4. RISKS: One top comment warns the “too late to buy” FOMO crowd is arriving, and another worries about a premarket pump dumping at the open. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - NVDA short-term target $240 EOD cited - Jensen Huang AI comments treated as bullish catalyst - NVDA shorts mocked; squeeze potential - FOMO and premarket dump are the main risks MU/NBIS/BE - WATCH | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: +0.20 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: A highly upvoted comment flags the “is it too late to buy” crowd for NVDA, MU, NBIS, BE and other “AI trade stocks.” 2. THE BRIDGE: Late-stage FOMO interest in these AI proxies makes chasing risky, but momentum can persist before any reversal. 3. THE VERDICT: Watch MU, NBIS, and BE for continuation or a blow-off top; avoid blindly adding a

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=== SUMMARY === - The thread is heavily focused on NVDA's post-earnings price action, with a fierce battle between bulls expecting a massive open and bears predicting an immediate sell-off. - There is a notable rotation thesis emerging, with users looking at memory stocks (Micron) as a derivative play on NVDA's increased costs. - General market sentiment is highly skeptical of pre-market pumps, with many users complaining about the "lamest market ever" where upside is immediately sold. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === MU - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Nvidia stated in their earnings that memory costs are much higher than forecasted, leading to adjusted gross margin guidance. 2. THE BRIDGE: Higher memory costs for Nvidia directly translate to higher revenues and pricing power for memory suppliers like Micron (MU) and SK Hynix. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy memory suppliers as a derivative play on the AI boom, as they are capturing more of the margin. 4. RISKS: General market weakness or semiconductor tariffs could drag down the entire sector regardless of individual company fundamentals. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - NVDA cited higher memory costs - Direct benefit to MU and SK Hynix - Memory sector is currently 40% off highs - Expected 10% upside reaction NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.10 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA is experiencing a pre-market/overnight pump following earnings, but historical price action shows early morning volatility. 2. THE BRIDGE: Last earnings, SPY pumped 2.5% and then sold off starting around 10:10 AM. Bears are planning to short the open, while bulls are holding 1DTE calls. 3. THE VERDICT: Avoid trading the immediate open; wait until after 10:00 AM to establish a position once the initial retail/institutional battle settles. 4. RISKS: Missing out on a massive gap-and-go if the stock immediately runs to new highs.

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=== SUMMARY === - Nvidia (NVDA) dominates the discussion following a massive earnings beat, with users marveling at its 75% gross margins and multi-year growth potential, though some note pre-market price fading. - Frustration is mounting over lagging tech stocks, specifically GOOGL and AVGO, which are bleeding despite the broader AI tailwinds. - There is high anticipation for MRVL earnings today, with users expecting a "blowout" in sympathy with NVDA's strong numbers. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.85 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA reported record-breaking earnings with 75% gross margins and 64% net margins. 2. THE BRIDGE: The market is underestimating the multi-year AI CapEx cycle and NVDA's compounding cash growth, making it attractive even at a $5T valuation. 3. THE VERDICT: Go long on NVDA as it continues to dominate the AI hardware space with unmatched scale and profitability. 4. RISKS: Short-term pre-market price fading; potential future AGI software shifts reducing GPU reliance. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - Record-breaking earnings and margins - AI CapEx cycle still in early innings - Bears and doubters continually crushed - Unmatched scale and cash compounding MRVL - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MRVL reports earnings today. 2. THE BRIDGE: Strong AI sector tailwinds from NVDA's massive report suggest MRVL will also post a significant beat. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy calls ahead of the earnings release expecting a blowout quarter. 4. RISKS: Earnings misses or weak guidance could be punished heavily in a choppy market. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings report happening today - Sympathy play with NVDA's AI strength - Community actively buying calls GOOGL - AVOID | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: GOOGL shares are consistently

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=== SUMMARY === - The thread is heavily focused on NVDA's price action, with strong retail conviction for a massive intraday pump and high price targets ($230-$300). - There is a recurring theme of expected intraday volatility, specifically "fake premarket pumps" followed by "rug pulls" at the open, before eventual rallies. - Geopolitical tensions (Strait of Hormuz, active wars) are noted as potential macroeconomic headwinds, though AI/Tech bullishness remains the dominant force. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple highly upvoted comments are holding calls and targeting aggressive price levels ($230, $235, $250, and $300). 2. THE BRIDGE: Extreme retail conviction and momentum are expected to overpower early morning dips, forcing bears to cover. 3. THE VERDICT: Go long on NVDA to capture the expected intraday "green dildo" melt-up. 4. RISKS: A broader market sell-off at the open or profit-taking could trigger a temporary dump. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Strong retail call buying - Targets range from $230 to $300 - Puts expected to be crushed at open - High intraday volatility expected ZENA - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: ZENA was reportedly awarded "drone tech of the year." 2. THE BRIDGE: Positive fundamental news catalysts in niche tech sectors often trigger retail momentum and volume spikes. 3. THE VERDICT: Long ZENA to capitalize on the positive news catalyst and retail hype. 4. RISKS: The news may already be priced in, leading to a "sell the news" event. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Awarded drone tech of the year - Outperforming peers (RCAT, ONDS) - Catalyst-driven momentum play SPY - LONG | confidence: 0.65 | sentiment: +0.40 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Technical analysis from the community identifies a "cup and handle" f

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=== SUMMARY === - Memory stocks (MU, SNDK) violently reversed from premarket/after-hours pumps, with comments highlighting massive dumps within minutes. - NVDA earnings reaction was seen as weak/confusing: “beat and raise” but price action failed to hold, leaving sentiment split. - Overall mood is chaotic and risk-conscious: “clown market”, “schizo market”, and macro worries about bonds/oil/rate hikes. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === MU - SHORT | confidence: 0.72 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Community repeatedly observed MU erasing a +5% premarket/after-hours gain in 20 minutes; one comment noted a 975 to 920 premarket dump. 2. THE BRIDGE: The violent downward reversal shows weak holders and aggressive sell-on-news behavior around memory despite NVDA’s beat/raise. 3. THE VERDICT: Short MU on momentum weakness while the memory complex is being rejected by the market. 4. RISKS: Some commenters call MU “manipulated” and NVDA’s memory pricing power could trigger a sharp rebound. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - MU reversed +5% to flat/red repeatedly. - “Memory erased the entire after hours pump.” - Premarket 975 to 920 dump highlighted. - Memory bag holders are clearly frustrated. - NVDA memory commentary did not support MU. SNDK - SHORT | confidence: 0.62 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Comments like “SanDick getting dicked” and “MU AND SNDK please no” show heavy bearish sentiment on SanDisk as memory names sold off together. 2. THE BRIDGE: SNDK is trading as a memory beta play, so the same post-NVDA dump that hit MU should pressure SNDK short-term. 3. THE VERDICT: Short SNDK while the memory sector remains in risk-off mode. 4. RISKS: High-beta names can squeeze violently; if memory pricing hikes are taken seriously, SNDK could reverse just as hard. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - SNDK dumped alongside MU. - Community calls it “SanDick getting dicked.” - Mem

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=== SUMMARY === - Main themes include extreme bullishness on NVDA and SAAS, contrasted by heavy losses and frustration in memory stocks (MU, SNDK). - Macro sentiment points to "ceasefire pumping" with oil cratering and bonds surging, driving FOMO in the broader market. - There is a clear divergence in tech: NVDA and software are pumping, while GOOG and memory hardware are drilling at the open. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.85 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Community expects NVDA to hit all-time highs, with price targets of $240 by Friday. 2. THE BRIDGE: Retail bears selling at the open is viewed as a contrarian indicator for a continued pump. 3. THE VERDICT: Strong momentum and FOMO are driving NVDA higher despite its massive market cap. 4. RISKS: The stock already makes up 5% of world GDP, raising valuation concerns. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Target of $240 by Friday mentioned. - Retail selling at open signals ATH incoming. - Michael Burry reportedly buying calls as a hedge. - Massive FOMO driving the broader market. PLTR - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: PLTR has reached a $460B market cap on less than $2B in quarterly revenue. 2. THE BRIDGE: The extreme valuation disconnect and heavy reliance on government contracts make it overextended. 3. THE VERDICT: The fundamental setup "screams time to short" according to community analysis. 4. RISKS: Broader SAAS and software sectors are currently experiencing a massive pump. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - $460B market cap vs $2B revenue. - Over-reliance on government contracts. - Valuation is completely disconnected. - Software sector is currently pumping hard. MU - AVOID | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: -0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Memory stocks (MU, SNDK) are aggressively selling off right at the market open. 2. TH

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=== SUMMARY === - Memory stocks, especially MU/SNDK, dominate the pain: multiple upvoted comments call MU an “embarrassing stock,” “exit liquidity,” and note it still can’t pump after NVDA earnings. - NVDA is the standout winner post-earnings; community highlights “+10% on a 5.5 TRILLION company” and money rotating into NVDA/SaaS while memory dumps. - Overall sentiment is frustrated/mixed: market is “flat,” full of “theta” decay, and one top comment explicitly says “Buy spy puts it’s coming.” - Key disagreement: bulls see undervalued memory/value setups, while bears see AI bubble/circular financing and weak memory internals. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === MU - SHORT | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: -0.50 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple top comments describe MU dumping, bulls being used as “exit liquidity,” and MU still unable to rally after NVDA’s earnings call. 2. THE BRIDGE: Weak price action after a bullish catalyst suggests continued selling pressure; MU is also described as range-bound around $935, creating a fade-the-strength setup. 3. THE VERDICT: Short/fade MU rallies while memory sector weakness persists. 4. RISKS: Some posters call MU “noticeably undervalued” and hope for a “memory V”; a sharp squeeze is possible. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - MU unable to rally after NVDA earnings - Described as “exit liquidity” for bulls - Rangebound around $935 - Memory sector broadly weak - Undervalue thesis is counter-risk NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Top comments cheer NVDA’s post-earnings move, calling it “making moves” and noting a huge gain on a 5.5T company. 2. THE BRIDGE: NVDA is viewed as the strongest large-cap AI name, with money rotating out of memory into NVDA and SaaS. 3. THE VERDICT: Long NVDA with the post-earnings momentum while it remains the market’s favorite. 4. RISKS: One vocal comment calls the AI market “circular fin

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA is the dominant focus after adding $500B+ in market cap following earnings, with strong bullish sentiment continuing. - A major disconnect is noted between NVDA's commentary on memory shortages/high costs and the simultaneous sell-off in memory stocks like MU. - General market sentiment is highly bullish, though some warn of a potential top due to the influx of new traders and upcoming Jackson Hole volatility. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.90 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA added over $500B in market cap in a single day post-earnings. 2. THE BRIDGE: The stock is showing immense momentum and has established a strong demand zone around $222. 3. THE VERDICT: Go long on dips, specifically targeting calls if the $222 support level holds, aiming for a break above $226 and $230. 4. RISKS: Potential profit-taking or macro volatility from Jackson Hole. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Added $500B+ market cap in one day - Demand zone established at $222 - Target break above $230 - AI spending remains massive - Risk of Jackson Hole volatility MU - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MU dumped heavily despite NVDA explicitly stating memory costs are increasing due to massive demand and shortages. 2. THE BRIDGE: The market is mispricing MU by selling it off on a day when its biggest customer confirmed a supply shortage and pricing power for memory. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy the irrational dip in MU, as the fundamental backdrop for memory remains extremely strong based on NVDA's guidance. 4. RISKS: Max pain is at 927, and the stock might leg down further before finding a bottom due to negative momentum. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - NVDA confirmed memory shortages - NVDA cited higher memory pricing - MU dumped irrationally on this news - Max pain for options is 927 - Contrarian buy opportunity P

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=== SUMMARY === - Jackson Hole anxiety dominates, with traders expecting Fed speaker Warsh to tank the market tomorrow. - Nvidia (NVDA) shows massive strength post-earnings, but the broader semiconductor sector (SOXL, MU) is lagging or dumping. - High anticipation and mixed reactions around Marvell (MRVL) earnings. - General frustration with algorithmic trading and market manipulation. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === SPY - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Jackson Hole symposium is tomorrow with Fed speaker Warsh. 2. THE BRIDGE: The community expects hawkish rhetoric to trigger a market sell-off, making short-dated puts attractive. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy SPY puts ahead of the Jackson Hole speech to capitalize on expected downside volatility. 4. RISKS: The Fed could deliver a dovish surprise, crushing put holders. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Jackson Hole speech expected tomorrow. - Traders buying puts anticipating a dump. - Fear of hawkish Fed commentary. NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.85 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA is up 10% and crushing short sellers. 2. THE BRIDGE: Unprecedented momentum and earnings strength are driving extreme bullish price targets ($250-$300). 3. THE VERDICT: Ride the momentum long as NVDA continues to outperform the broader semiconductor sector. 4. RISKS: Profit-taking after hours could cause a temporary pullback. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Stock is up 10% post-earnings. - Shorts are getting squeezed hard. - Targets of $250 today, $300 next week. - Outperforming the rest of the sector. MU - AVOID | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: The President tweeted directly about Micron (MU) to pump it, but the stock flatlined. 2. THE BRIDGE: If a direct political pump cannot move the stock higher, the underlying momentum is completely dead. 3. THE VERD

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=== SUMMARY === - Semiconductor stocks (NVDA, MU) dominate the daily discussion, with a strong focus on price action and options expiration. - Bears are actively being mocked by the community, as put holders and short banbets are losing money in the current market conditions. - There is a strong consensus that betting against NVDA is a losing strategy, though some debate exists on when to buy puts if it reaches $240-$250. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Put holders are losing money and bearish banbets are failing as NVDA pushes toward $230. 2. THE BRIDGE: The persistent failure of short positions forces bears to cover, fueling further upward momentum. 3. THE VERDICT: NVDA remains a strong buy as bearish sentiment is repeatedly punished by the market. 4. RISKS: Potential resistance at $240-$250 where traders are eyeing long-term puts. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Bears are getting crushed on puts. - Short banbets are expiring worthless. - Community views it as an obvious buy. - Calls at $230 are printing. - Resistance expected around $240-$250. MU - LONG | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MU experienced an intraday dip despite expectations of hitting $1000, but memory sector sentiment remains strong. 2. THE BRIDGE: Anticipated overnight momentum from Asian markets ("Koreans pumping memory") sets up a recovery play. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy the current dip in anticipation of a memory sector pump early next week. 4. RISKS: The stock failed to hold its intraday momentum, shaking out weak hands. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Intraday dip viewed as temporary. - Asian markets expected to pump memory. - Pump anticipated for early next week. - $1000 remains the psychological target.

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=== SUMMARY === - Nvidia (NVDA) earnings are the dominant catalyst, driving a massive market pump and crushing put holders. - Jackson Hole macro volatility is present, but AI/tech momentum is overpowering broader market concerns. - Consensus is heavily skewed toward FOMO and bullishness on mega-cap tech, though some users suspect localized blow-off tops. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.90 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA is pumping heavily off its earnings report, with mentions of a 10% move on a $5T valuation. 2. THE BRIDGE: The massive earnings beat has triggered intense FOMO and forced bears to cover, creating sustained upward momentum. 3. THE VERDICT: Ride the post-earnings momentum as retail and institutional FOMO continues to drive the stock higher. 4. RISKS: Early call sellers taking profit could cause intraday pullbacks; broader market conditions (Jackson Hole) could introduce volatility. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Pumping off recent earnings report - Bears are trapped and puts are dead - Implied 10% upward move post-earnings - Strong retail FOMO driving price action - "Nvidia is forever" community consensus CRM - SHORT | confidence: 0.60 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Price action on CRM is being characterized by traders as an "obvious blow-off the top." 2. THE BRIDGE: Extreme, unsustainable vertical price movement often precedes a sharp mean-reversion correction. 3. THE VERDICT: Enter a short position or buy puts to capitalize on the expected technical rejection and pullback. 4. RISKS: The broader tech market is pumping hard (led by NVDA), which could irrationally drag CRM higher despite technical exhaustion. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Identified as a blow-off top - Ripe for a technical pullback - Contrarian play to broader tech pump GOOG - LONG | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: +0.60 Speaker: r/wallstre

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