What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, August 26, 2026

u/verified-trader · Reddit — r/wallstreetbets · 25 августа 2026, 20:00 · ⬆ 28 очк. · 💬 678 комментариев | Открыть на Reddit ↗

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=== SUMMARY === - Memory/chip sector is the clearest bullish theme: MU expected to "pop" and catch up to Korea, with a separate comment noting Korea has been "too quiet" for a while. - MRNA has the strongest specific bearish thesis: short at $160 on expectations of an ATM offering/dilution, driven by high cash burn and low cash on hand. - Gold/silver miners and rare earths are being positioned for a year-end run, with an anticipated January selloff as the exit trigger. - NVDA sentiment is divided: one comment questions "inverse Reddit" as a contrarian long, while another sarcastically expects a post-earnings drop despite strong results. - Background noise: geopolitical oil tanker watching, crypto futures short losses, and a mix of meme/joke comments — no other actionable consensus. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === MU - LONG | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Two upvoted comments (+6 each) point to Korea's memory stocks being "too quiet" and say MU "pops tmw—has to catch up to Korea." 2. THE BRIDGE: Korean memory makers (Samsung/SK Hynix) act as leading indicators for Micron; their quiet strength suggests MU is a laggard that should re-rate higher. 3. THE VERDICT: Long MU as a short-term catch-up trade in the semiconductor memory upcycle. 4. RISKS: "Too quiet" could mean the sector move is already exhausted; no specific catalyst or price target given. Timeframe: short-term (next session) Key Points: - Korea being too quiet signals imminent move - MU expected to pop tomorrow - Memory sector bullish catch-up trade - No earnings catalyst cited MRNA - SHORT | confidence: 0.65 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: One well-argued comment (+6) says they are shorting MRNA at $160 because "They're definitely gonna announce an ATM offering / dilution any day now." 2. THE BRIDGE: High cash burn + low cash on hand creates a high probability of share dilution, which wo

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA earnings dominate the discussion, with a strong consensus expecting a post-earnings selloff or IV crush regardless of the actual results. - Macro discussions highlight geopolitical tensions with Iran and oil market reactions, alongside a notable earnings miss from Intuit (INTU). - The community is highly skeptical of Zoom's (ZM) long-term viability against Microsoft. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - SHORT | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple highly upvoted comments predict NVDA will drop after earnings. 2. THE BRIDGE: The market has priced in perfection, meaning even an earnings beat will likely result in a "sell the news" event. 3. THE VERDICT: Shorting the stock or selling premium (Iron Condors) capitalizes on the expected post-earnings dump and IV crush. 4. RISKS: Jim Cramer says they have no competitors; consecutive down days could mean the dip is already priced in. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Consensus expects a post-earnings dump. - High IV makes buying options unfavorable. - Selling Iron Condors is recommended. - "Sell the news" reaction anticipated. - Consecutive down days present a wildcard. ZM - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Zoom's core product competes directly with a free alternative from Microsoft (Teams). 2. THE BRIDGE: A business model built on charging for what a mega-cap competitor gives away for free is fundamentally flawed long-term. 3. THE VERDICT: Short ZM as its market share and pricing power will inevitably erode against MSFT. 4. RISKS: Zoom may announce new AI features or enterprise partnerships to justify its valuation. Timeframe: long-term Key Points: - MSFT gives away competing product. - Flawed long-term business model. - Lack of competitive moat. INTU - SHORT | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: -0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FAC

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=== SUMMARY === - Main themes include anticipation and anxiety around NVDA earnings, a massive earnings miss by INTU, and deep skepticism regarding AI TAM projections (specifically Anthropic). - The community is broadly bearish on crypto/Bitcoin and enterprise software (INTU, CRM, NOW), while NVDA sentiment is highly polarized due to massive whisper numbers and macro ceasefire rumors. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === INTU - SHORT | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: -0.90 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Intuit (INTU) reported a huge earnings miss, causing puts to spike 1500%. 2. THE BRIDGE: The severe earnings miss has shattered bullish sentiment, leading to a rapid sell-off and panic among long holders. 3. THE VERDICT: Short INTU as the post-earnings momentum is heavily skewed to the downside. 4. RISKS: The stock may experience an oversold dead-cat bounce. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Huge earnings miss reported - Puts are up 1500% - Bulls are in "absolute shambles" NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: 0.00 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA earnings are imminent, with massive whisper numbers and expectations. 2. THE BRIDGE: The market expects perfection; missing the "gagillion dollar" whisper number could cause an 8% drop, but real ceasefire news could trigger an "insane rally." 3. THE VERDICT: Watch NVDA closely as it faces a massive binary outcome driven by both earnings expectations and geopolitical news. 4. RISKS: 0DTE options will be highly volatile and subject to IV crush. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Whisper numbers are impossibly high - Fear of a post-earnings dump is prevalent - Ceasefire news could trigger a massive rally BTC - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple users are calling for a hard dump in Bitcoin and noting that crypto bros are getting nervous. 2. THE BRIDGE: The recent crypto pump appear

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=== SUMMARY === - The thread is laser-focused on NVDA earnings on Aug 26, with many traders holding puts or expecting a selloff even if NVDA beats. - Meme/momentum ideas are present around DKS, SNDK/MU, and gold/silver calls. - Notable disagreement: bullish “war is over / SPY 800 EOW” comments vs. skeptical “it’s been 84 ceasefires” reactions. NVDA sentiment is also split between “puts” and “rip past 250.” === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - SHORT | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple top comments are positioned with NVDA puts or expect a drop: “Nvidia puts fck the bubble,” “expect 7% correction,” and the “NVDA MASSIVE BEAT, STOCK SLIDES” / “NVDA MISSED, STOCK SLIDES” meme. 2. THE BRIDGE: NVDA is seen as overextended at a ~$10T valuation, so even a strong earnings print may be sold as “priced in.” 3. THE VERDICT: Short NVDA or buy puts into the earnings event; the safer framing is a hedge against a long semi portfolio. 4. RISKS: The thread also contains “NVDA will rip past 250” and “BUY FUCKING CALLS NOW” calls; a beat could squeeze shorts. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Heavy put positioning around NVDA earnings - Expected reaction: “beat, then slide” - No explicit implied move mentioned - Community sees NVDA as speculative/hot air - Bullish minority argues for a post-earnings rip INTU - SHORT | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: -0.30 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: A +5 comment says “INTU puts was an easy play. AI does their job now.” 2. THE BRIDGE: The idea is that AI is replacing Intuit’s tax/accounting workflow, making the software business less defensible. 3. THE VERDICT: Bearish options/puts on INTU as an AI disruption play. 4. RISKS: Only a single explicit comment; no follow-up or price target; may be an offhand meme. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - INTU puts explicitly mentioned - AI disruption is the core thesis - Low but non-zero community s

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=== SUMMARY === - Main themes revolve around anticipation for Nvidia's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report and the upcoming GDP data. - The community is noting extremely low market volume and expressing concerns about the broader economy unraveling. - There is a notable consensus that Oil is facing negative developments, with traders mocking bullish oil investors. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: 0.00 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA earnings report is tomorrow alongside GDP data. 2. THE BRIDGE: The community is highly divided; some expect a drop due to the "Inverse Cramer" rule, while others are taking contrarian long positions because it dropped on the last 6 earnings. 3. THE VERDICT: High volatility is guaranteed, making it a prime watch for post-earnings direction rather than a blind gamble. 4. RISKS: Binary earnings event could wipe out options premiums (IV crush). Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings report is tomorrow - Inverse Cramer signals a drop - Contrarians are buying calls - High risk of bagholding OIL - SHORT | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple highly upvoted comments note that oil investors are "coping" with negative new developments. 2. THE BRIDGE: The mockery of the r/oil subreddit indicates a strong bearish momentum and negative fundamental news hitting the commodity. 3. THE VERDICT: Short oil or oil-related equities as the commodity faces downward pressure and bearish sentiment. 4. RISKS: Geopolitical events could cause sudden upward spikes in oil prices. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Oil investors are coping - Negative developments cited - Strong bearish momentum RKLB - AVOID | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: -0.50 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Community members are actively labeling RKLB investors as a "bagholder nation." 2. THE BRIDGE: The stock has trapp

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=== SUMMARY === - Main themes revolve around extreme anxiety and anticipation for upcoming NVDA earnings, macro data (PCE), and overnight market dumps. - INTU is facing heavy bearish sentiment following an earnings miss, while RZLV is being pitched as a high-conviction short squeeze play. - The community is heavily divided on NVDA's earnings reaction; some expect a massive +30% rally to "save the universe," while others expect a "sell the news" drop even if they beat expectations massively. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === INTU - SHORT | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: -0.80 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: INTU fell way short on their recent earnings report. 2. THE BRIDGE: The stock is perceived as vastly overpriced, creating room for a severe correction. 3. THE VERDICT: Short INTU as the community expects a massive $60/share dump. 4. RISKS: The overnight drop may have already priced in the earnings miss. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings missed expectations - Stock is considered overpriced - Expected to dump $60 a share - Hail Mary calls were wiped out RZLV - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.85 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: RZLV has 38% short interest, a $300M buyback, and a new Google Cloud deal. 2. THE BRIDGE: The combination of high short interest and major fundamental catalysts creates a prime squeeze setup. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy calls to capture the short squeeze and hold for long-term legitimacy. 4. RISKS: The company's long-term legitimacy is still being proven. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - 38% short interest - $300m share buyback announced - Signed deal with Google Cloud - Play for a short squeeze NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.90 | sentiment: +0.10 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA earnings are imminent and dictate the entire market's momentum. 2. THE BRIDGE: Expectations are so astronomically high that even a massive beat might result in a sel

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=== SUMMARY === - Macro focus is heavily centered on upcoming PCE inflation and GDP data releases at 5:30 AM ET, alongside Crude oil inventories. - High anxiety surrounds NVDA, with community members anticipating an IV crush that will wipe out both bulls and bears regardless of earnings results. - Geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Iran are being monitored, alongside a notable divergence between WTI and Brent crude prices. - The thread exhibits a tug-of-war between loud bears expecting a market flush and bulls anticipating a "bear extinction-level event." === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: -0.20 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Retail is highly anxious and market makers are heavily positioned long on calls ahead of earnings. 2. THE BRIDGE: The massive buildup in options premium means a muted move (e.g., 1%) will result in severe implied volatility (IV) crush. 3. THE VERDICT: Watch from the sidelines as the options market is priced for a massive move that may not materialize, burning both sides. 4. RISKS: NVDA actually delivers an outsized directional move that overcomes the IV crush. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Options premiums are dangerously high - IV crush expected to wipe out buyers - Earnings results may not dictate price action - Retail panic selling observed MRNA - LONG | confidence: 0.60 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: There is a perception of heavy retail and institutional shorting on MRNA. 2. THE BRIDGE: Over-crowded short positions create the perfect environment for a violent short squeeze. 3. THE VERDICT: Go long to capitalize on bears getting squeezed out of their positions. 4. RISKS: The underlying bearish thesis on MRNA is correct and the stock continues to dump. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Short squeeze anticipated - Contrarian play against heavy shorting - High conviction for a sharp upward move QQQ -

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA earnings and PCE inflation data dominate tomorrow’s discussion; mood is anxious, with retail hoping for an NVDA pop to $220 while bracing for a hawkish inflation surprise. - Specific longs are mentioned in META and NVDA, while RDDT is singled out as bearish due to insider selling; oil/geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz is also in focus. - Consensus: PCE is a major macro catalyst that could trigger a rate-hike repricing. Disagreement: NVDA is real vs hype, and whether the Fed cuts or hikes. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: +0.05 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Multiple top comments revolve around NVDA earnings; longs are praying for

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA earnings are the dominant focus, with users debating whether to play the run-up or sit out entirely due to volatility. - Macro sentiment is highly polarized; some users are calling for a massive Nasdaq crash, while others are mocking bears for betting against a market near all-time highs. - INTC is being discussed as a sympathy play for NVDA earnings, fueled by rumors of political insider buying. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - AVOID | confidence: 0.65 | sentiment: +0.20 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA earnings are highly anticipated, with conflicting signals from media and international markets. 2. THE BRIDGE: The extreme hype and unpredictable nature of the upcoming earnings report make options pricing and directional bets highly risky. 3. THE VERDICT: The most prudent strategy suggested by some users is to avoid playing the earnings directly to protect capital. 4. RISKS: Sitting out means missing a potential "parabolic" upside move if the results shatter expectations. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings hype is at a fever pitch - Conflicting media narratives - High risk of IV crush - Some expect a massive upside surprise INTC - LONG | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.60 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Users are speculating that Nancy Pelosi is heavily invested in INTC calls. 2. THE BRIDGE: Combined with the potential for a strong NVDA earnings report lifting the entire semiconductor sector, INTC is viewed as a sympathy play. 3. THE VERDICT: Buy INTC in anticipation of sector-wide tailwinds generated by NVDA and perceived insider confidence. 4. RISKS: INTC's fundamental issues may prevent it from rallying even if NVDA posts strong numbers. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Pelosi insider trading rumors - Sympathy pump expected from NVDA - Semiconductor sector momentum QQQ - SHORT | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: -0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community T

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA earnings tonight dominate the thread; top upvoted comment expects a miss that “sends this market to hell.” - Multiple users see a sell-the-news pattern: NVDA dumps, bounces flat, then dumps again Thursday; one plan is to sell NVDA before earnings. - Broader market sentiment is split: some fear a risk-off meltdown, while one comment predicts a pump back to ATH before a September/October dump. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - SHORT | confidence: 0.62 | sentiment: -0.30 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: The highest-upvoted comment says NVDA misses and drags the market down; another predicts a dump, rebound flat, then another dump Thursday. 2. THE BRIDGE: Expectations are so high that even a strong report may trigger sell-the-news; users are positioning for downside after the print. 3. THE VERDICT: Short NVDA into/after earnings, or at minimum sell existing longs before the event. 4. RISKS: A separate popular comment warns long or short NVDA will lose regardless — the stock is famously unpredictable. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - NVDA earnings are the main binary event - Expected pattern: dump, flat bounce, Thursday dump - High expectations mean “beat” may not rally - Counter: NVDA is too unpredictable to trade NVDA - AVOID | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: -0.20 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: A highly-upvoted comment says “if you go long or short $NVDA, you’re going to lose regardless. Nobody can predict what this retarded stock is going to do.” 2. THE BRIDGE: With contradictory bearish and bullish setups, the highest-probability move is to have no position during the earnings event. 3. THE VERDICT: Avoid trading NVDA around earnings; there is no reliable edge. 4. RISKS: Missing a large directional move, especially if the bearish sell-the-news consensus is correct. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Long or short both seem like losing trades - NVDA historically smashes ear

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=== SUMMARY === - NVDA earnings dominate discussion ("superbowl for markets") - High anxiety regarding IV crush and post-earnings movement - Bears are being heavily mocked as SPY marches to new ATHs - Disagreement on NVDA: some see massive pump, others see flat === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === NVDA - WATCH | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.40 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: NVDA reports earnings today after market close. 2. THE BRIDGE: High implied volatility makes options risky. 3. THE VERDICT: Watch NVDA or use sympathy plays to avoid IV. 4. RISKS: Market cap is too large for a 20% jump; might crab. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - Earnings are the "superbowl for markets" - High risk of IV crush on direct options - Sympathy plays on other GPU makers suggested - Some predict a massive run to $240 - Skeptics expect sideways "crab" movement SPY - LONG | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: 1. THE FACT: SPY continues to march to all-time highs. 2. THE BRIDGE: Bears are consistently losing money fighting the trend. 3. THE VERDICT: Stay long the broader market; don't fight the trend. 4. RISKS: Potential "blood bath" depending on NVDA earnings. Timeframe: short-term Key Points: - SPY casually hitting new ATHs - Bears' puts are expiring worthless - VIX calls are becoming tax write-offs - Market hinges heavily on NVDA results

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