HIVE is coming

u/OstrichGreen798 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · 20 мая 2026, 15:22 · ⬆ 15 очк. · 💬 35 комментариев  | Открыть на Reddit ↗
AI-резюме
=== SUMMARY === - The post argues that HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) is mispriced as a Bitcoin miner, while its GPU cloud computing division (BUZZ HPC) is growing rapidly with $140M ARR guidance and 850MW of power assets. - The author identifies a specific catalyst: Q4 FY2026 earnings on June 25, 2026, where BUZZ HPC revenue should inflect materially, potentially triggering a re-rating as an AI infrastructure play. - Quality assessment: Well-researched DD with specific financial data, contract details, and a clear catalyst date; risks are acknowledged but the thesis is supported by numbers. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === TICKER - DIRECTION | confidence: 0.75 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/OstrichGreen798 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: HIVE’s BUZZ HPC division has $30M in 2-year NVIDIA B200 contracts, guided to $140M ARR by Q4 2026; the company also owns 850MW of secured power, including a 320MW gigafactory site near Toronto. 2. THE BRIDGE: The market still prices HIVE as a Bitcoin miner (865M market cap), but a conservative 5x ARR on the $225M HPC target values the GPU cloud alone at $1.1B – implying the mining and power assets are free. 3. THE VERDICT: Long HIVE ahead of the June 25 earnings catalyst, expecting a revenue inflection from BUZZ to trigger a re-rating toward AI infrastructure multiples. 4. RISKS: Company is loss-making ($125M TTM loss); BUZZ needs 7x revenue ramp; potential dilution for gigafactory funding; Bitcoin price volatility could drag stock regardless of GPU performance. Timeframe: short-term (catalyst in 36 days) Key Points: - HIVE undervalued as AI infrastructure vs Bitcoin miner - $140M ARR guided for BUZZ HPC by Q4 2026 - Catalyst: June 25 earnings with revenue inflection - 850MW power assets provide optionality - Risks: losses, dilution, Bitcoin noise
Оценка 15
Комментарии 35
% апвоутов 67%
Полный текст поста
Ещё от Reddit — r/ValueInvesting