Intuit is about to surge on earnings. This is why.
u/armadillo_stocks ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· May 20, 2026 at 09:50
· ⬆ 16 pts
· 💬 100 comments
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Summary
The author argues that Intuit (INTU) is undervalued due to overblown AI disruption fears, citing strong revenue growth, high margins, and evidence that AI tools actually integrate with QuickBooks.
The thesis expects a 15-20% surge around the upcoming earnings report, driven by a rerating of SaaS stocks as peers (CRM, ADBE) also report strong numbers.
Quality assessment: speculation – while the revenue and margin data are factual, the price target and short-term catalyst are based on a narrative rather than deep fundamental analysis. The top comment notes this contradicts value investing principles.
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Intuit might not ring a bell to many, however it’s likely its products like Quickbooks and Mailchimp will.
The SaaS giant, whose portfolio also includes Turbotax and CreditKarma generates 20 billion dollars in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) with traditional 80% gross and 20% net margins.
Even at this scale, Intuit posted 17% revenue growth last quarter, cementing its position as an elite SaaS company. Yet its stock is down 50% and cheaper than it was 5 years ago (despite the business having grown multiples in size since then).
Reasons for this downtrend are obvious. Fears that AI will make it cheaper for companies to ship code, lowering the cost of entry and lowering margins as well as SMBs building their own software in house.
This is what’s currently holding down Intuit stock, however it is already confirmed to be wrong by 2 factors.
First, all SaaS companies reporting have shown strong revenue growth, profitability and outlook - Monday, Atlassian, amongst others. For some stock has gone down even on good numbers like ServiceNow and Hubspot but all metrics were good signaling the market is strong.
Second, and perhaps most important, is the signal in the other direction. Both Anthropic and OpenAI have created divisions funded with billions to upsell their services to enterprise and when these systems are implementing on enterprise they actually integrate with both Quickbooks products and Salesforce products, making these two companies actual beneficiaries of the AI age for all of the data they sit on.
We’ll likely see a 15-20% surge around earnings, however as CRM and Adobe report within the next 30 days, it should be fairly certain soon that SaaS is here to stay and the market is going to rerate.