July equities start positively on earnings
July is likely to start positively for equities because earnings should be pretty good, US macro data has held up, companies guided expectations low for easy beats, and Micron's earnings showed the AI CapEx bubble continues. The main risk is getting through this week's event-heavy calendar, after which the backdrop looks optimistic.
More EUR/USD downside near term
Longer term, later on this year, the dollar downtrend will resume, implying EUR/USD upside, but the market is not ready for that turn yet.