Идеи
Construction boom drives US job growth.
The US is experiencing the biggest construction boom ever, partly driven by the Big Beautiful Bill allowing expense of factory construction. This is showing up in strong construction employment and will support above-trend job growth and a better second half.
AI boosts productivity without inflation.
AI is a massive positive supply shock that increases productivity across companies. It allows strong economic growth without upward pressure on prices, making the old Phillips curve (growth requires rate hikes) inapplicable.