Сигналы
15
#347
Альфа-оценка 72.9
Trinh Nguyen
Старший экономист по развивающимся рынкам Азии, Natixis
Винрейт
66.7%
доходность
+4.9%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
23 апр
$84.24
+30.5%
South Korea and Taiwan equities are the best performers in Asia and globally because their high exposure to the semiconductor super cycle provides a buffer against the negative energy shock from the Hormuz standoff, while countries without chip buffers suffer from demand destruction and fiscal pressures.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
23 апр
$152.21
+14.8%
South Korea and Taiwan equities are the best performers in Asia and globally because their high exposure to the semiconductor super cycle provides a buffer against the negative energy shock from the Hormuz standoff, while countries without chip buffers suffer from demand destruction and fiscal pressures.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
12 мар
$57.63
-0.5%
Buy JPY as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation, driven by expected longer-term dollar weakening as geopolitical safe-haven flows into USD reverse.
Buy JPY as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation, driven by expected longer-term dollar weakening as geopolitical safe-haven flows into USD reverse.
Валюты
Лонг
17 авг
$115.81
+0.4%
Sustained geopolitical pressure is reshuffling global supply chains, and that reshuffle allows South Asia to attract the most capital. The region is gaining from this shift even though it carries costs.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
08 мая
$433.77
-8.5%
Buy gold as de-dollarization demand has limited alternatives (UST remains viable only under specific yield/ratings conditions), but conviction is tempered by gold's negative carry and the structural ceiling on institutional holdings.
Buy gold as de-dollarization demand has limited alternatives (UST remains viable only under specific yield/ratings conditions), but conviction is tempered by gold's negative carry and the structural ceiling on institutional holdings.
Сырьё
Шорт
24 апр
$24.96
+3.3%
Short Philippines equities; the country lacks chip-sector buffers against the Iran War energy shock and faces supply shortages forcing demand destruction, placing it at the bottom of Asia's K-shaped divergence.
Short Philippines equities; the country lacks chip-sector buffers against the Iran War energy shock and faces supply shortages forcing demand destruction, placing it at the bottom of Asia's K-shaped divergence.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
12 мар
$84.19
+13.2%
Buy Japanese yen exposure (via EWJ as proxy for JPY strength thesis) as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation on dollar weakening. Note: no direct FXY mention but USD/JPY directional call is explicit.
Buy Japanese yen exposure (via EWJ as proxy for JPY strength thesis) as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation on dollar weakening. Note: no direct FXY mention but USD/JPY directional call is explicit.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
12 мар
$106.24
+0.6%
Buy EUR/USD as author explicitly expects longer-term dollar weakening and EUR/USD recovery once the geopolitical safe-haven USD bid unwinds post-conflict.
Buy EUR/USD as author explicitly expects longer-term dollar weakening and EUR/USD recovery once the geopolitical safe-haven USD bid unwinds post-conflict.
Валюты
Лонг
12 мар
$118.39
+19.2%
Buy oil as Iran War supply disruptions drive Brent to a projected $90/bbl base case through April, with upside to $119/bbl under a prolonged conflict scenario; supply shock is the explicit catalyst.
Buy oil as Iran War supply disruptions drive Brent to a projected $90/bbl base case through April, with upside to $119/bbl under a prolonged conflict scenario; supply shock is the explicit catalyst.
Сырьё
Шорт
12 мар
$27.68
-2.1%
Short USD as author explicitly forecasts longer-term dollar weakening driven by safe-haven bid reversal once Iran War geopolitical shock fades, with EUR and JPY as the primary beneficiaries.
Short USD as author explicitly forecasts longer-term dollar weakening driven by safe-haven bid reversal once Iran War geopolitical shock fades, with EUR and JPY as the primary beneficiaries.
Валюты
Шорт
06 мар
$63.31
-10.3%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
06 мар
$35.82
+1.3%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
06 мар
$49.99
+0.8%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
05 мар
$56.48
+14.8%
Buy oil & gas equities as widening Iran/Middle East conflict has delivered a negative supply shock; key uncertainty is duration of the disruption, but directional bias is clearly long energy.
Buy oil & gas equities as widening Iran/Middle East conflict has delivered a negative supply shock; key uncertainty is duration of the disruption, but directional bias is clearly long energy.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
22 янв
$235.82
-4.2%
Buy defense sector as global defense spending rises structurally across Europe, Japan, China, India, and Indonesia, driven by geopolitical pressures discussed at Davos and beyond.
Buy defense sector as global defense spending rises structurally across Europe, Japan, China, India, and Indonesia, driven by geopolitical pressures discussed at Davos and beyond.
Тематические ETF
Показано 15 из 15 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям
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У Trinh Nguyen на Buzzberg отслеживается 15 торговых идей по 15 тикерам с января 2026. винрейт 67% по 15 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +4.9%. #347 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: EWT, EWY, FXY.
