Сигналы
34
#956
Альфа-оценка 25.1
Mark Cudmore
Исполнительный редактор, Bloomberg Live / Макростратег
Винрейт
55.9%
доходность
-0.8%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
07 мая
$735.38
+3.6%
The AI-driven equity rally has legs to go further, as we are still in the inflation stage/bubble phase. The core momentum is higher and the rally will likely be more powerful than expected even from current levels, despite increasing volatility and rocky conditions.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
14 мая
$84.80
+3.5%
Bond yields have much more room to rise as inflation pressures persist from supply chain disruption (Strait of Hormuz), strong demand, and fiscal spending, leading to further bond price declines.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
11 мая
$189.51
-7.8%
The KOSPI has surged 230% since April last year, yet on a forward P/E basis it is near the cheapest it has ever been because earnings growth has outpaced the price gains. This unique combination of a strong rally and cheap valuation makes Korean equities attractive.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
16 июн
$46.05
+20.9%
Brent crude oil prices remain more than 20% above pre-conflict levels, US stockpiles are at record lows, and refilling storage will keep energy prices elevated for months. This persistent inflationary impulse supports a bullish oil outlook even with a potential Iran deal.
Сырьё
Шорт
21 мая
$185.82
+5.9%
The Korean stock market (KOSPI) has seen massive retail buying and is super volatile. Despite strong fundamentals and tailwinds from Nvidia and averted Samsung strike, I think Kospi has downside in the short term, with more correction to come.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
18 мая
$736.05
-3.5%
Stocks face a multi-week selloff due to post-summit focus on unresolved Strait of Hormuz tensions, bonds already priced in, and dip not quickly buyable.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
16 июл
$539.19
-7.4%
The AI semiconductor capex cycle still has room to run; hyperscalers are not cutting spending yet, and until they slash capex, the theme remains positive. The market is in a volatile stage that could last another six months, but the base case is staying long semis until a capex reduction signals the end.
Тематические ETF
Шорт
15 мая
$427.21
+7.1%
Higher yields and a stronger dollar are negative for precious metals like gold. The macro environment points to lower risk assets and lower precious metals as the market refocuses on inflation and supply distortions.
Сырьё
Лонг
06 авг
$389.64
+1.9%
The Fed's credibility was undermined at the margin last week, which lowers expected real yields and dealt a blow to the dollar. Since gold trades off the dollar and real yields, both moving lower supports a higher gold price. The 4% surge is a valid move higher and may be the start of the bull trend reasserting.
Сырьё
Лонг
31 июл
$156.83
+1.7%
The AI capex bubble is not over; capex is still increasing and earnings will likely accelerate into the next earnings season, pushing global stocks to a fresh record high even though volatility will remain a feature.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
25 авг
$208.48
+4.3%
Mark Cudmore argues Nvidia earnings are set up differently this time: the stock is already discounted, it is making a transition as an AI name but remains highly profitable, and the report should emphasize that the AI CapEx bubble is still in the inflation stage. He has turned positive again rather than expecting a negative skew after earnings.
ИИ-вычисления
Лонг
21 авг
$77004.00
+0.3%
Dollar weakness specifically supports alternatives to the dollar: gold should do well and Bitcoin should do well as the world's reserve currency weakens and investors rotate into real and alternative assets.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
14 авг
$64.20
-0.3%
The earnings season has been extremely strong globally, emphasizing that the AI boom is continuing, which should drive global stocks higher in a low-volatility summer market.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
31 июл
$28.14
+0.4%
The Fed disappointed and took a credibility hit, but US rates still have more upside, which will support the dollar in the short term, delaying the start of a big structural dollar down-trade.
Валюты
Шорт
19 июн
$59.51
+2.7%
Более высокая реальная доходность в США и укрепление доллара негативно сказываются на спекулятивных активах, которые зависят от слабого доллара и более низкой реальной доходности. Драгоценные металлы являются идеальным примером: ожидается дальнейшее снижение цен на золото и серебро.
Сырьё
Показано 15 из 34 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям
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У Mark Cudmore на Buzzberg отслеживается 34 торговых идей по 26 тикерам с февраля 2026. винрейт 56% по 34 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность -0.8%. #956 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: SPY, EWY, TLT.
