Jill Carey Hall

"Value stocks tend to be the best-positioned area. Energy stocks tend to do well... And small caps overall have tended to fare better than large caps in stagflationary environments." In a stagflationary environment driven by a supply shock, mega-cap growth stocks suffer from multiple compression due to higher discount rates. Conversely, value and energy sectors benefit directly from higher commodity prices, and small caps historically show resilience during these specific macro setups. LONG value, energy, and small-cap equities as capital rotates out of expensive, crowded mega-cap tech stocks. A severe economic recession crushes small-cap earnings, or the Fed is forced to hike rates, which disproportionately hurts debt-heavy small companies.

Bank of America is more constructive on the equal-weighted S&P 500 versus the cap-weighted index. Deteriorating mega-cap earnings quality and free cash flow, along with liquidity reversals, make the equal-weight index a better bet for upside in the second half.

"Value stocks tend to be the best-positioned area. Energy stocks tend to do well... And small caps overall have tended to fare better than large caps in stagflationary environments." In a stagflationary environment driven by a supply shock, mega-cap growth stocks suffer from multiple compression due to higher discount rates. Conversely, value and energy sectors benefit directly from higher commodity prices, and small caps historically show resilience during these specific macro setups. LONG value, energy, and small-cap equities as capital rotates out of expensive, crowded mega-cap tech stocks. A severe economic recession crushes small-cap earnings, or the Fed is forced to hike rates, which disproportionately hurts debt-heavy small companies.

"Value stocks tend to be the best-positioned area. Energy stocks tend to do well... And small caps overall have tended to fare better than large caps in stagflationary environments." In a stagflationary environment driven by a supply shock, mega-cap growth stocks suffer from multiple compression due to higher discount rates. Conversely, value and energy sectors benefit directly from higher commodity prices, and small caps historically show resilience during these specific macro setups. LONG value, energy, and small-cap equities as capital rotates out of expensive, crowded mega-cap tech stocks. A severe economic recession crushes small-cap earnings, or the Fed is forced to hike rates, which disproportionately hurts debt-heavy small companies.