AMD is his biggest bet because of its strong position in CPU inferencing, a much larger addressable market after raising the CPU TAM to $220 billion, and a very competitive accelerator product. The stock is down 18% in July, offering an attractive entry.
AI infrastructure and semiconductor spending will continue to accelerate. Hyperscaler capex is generating high ROIC (Morgan Stanley cites 30%), cloud revenue growth is re-accelerating (AWS 37%, Google Cloud 82%), and open-source models are unequivocally good for chip companies. The recent momentum unwind is over.